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The Trust holds gold bars and from time to time, issues Baskets in exchange for deposits of gold and distributes gold in connection with redemptions of Baskets. The investment objective of the Trust is for the Shares to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less the Trusts expenses. The Sponsor believes that, for many investors, the Shares represent a cost-effective investment in gold.

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<ul>
<li>MSTR</li>
<li>NVDA</li>
<li>$BTC</li>
<li>CORN</li>
<li>MARA</li>
<li>COIN</li>
<li>SNOW</li>
<li>TSLA</li>
<li>AI</li>
<li>GLD</li>
</ul>
data from <a href="https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment">https://swaggystocks.com/dashboard/wallstreetbets/ticker-sentiment</a>
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Top 10 Trending Stocks On WallStreetBets As Of November 21, 2024 (Via Swaggy Stocks)

On Wednesday, November 20, U.S. markets closed mixed. The Nasdaq slipped, weighed down by geopolitical tensions and Target&#8217;s disappointing performance. Nvidia declined ahead of earnings, which later underwhelmed. Meanwhile, the Dow edged higher, and the S&amp;P 500 remained flat.
In economic data, U.S. mortgage applications increased by 1.7% for the week ending November 15, up from the 0.5% rise recorded the previous week.
Healthcare, energy, and materials led S&amp;P 500 gains Wednesday, while consumer discretionary and financials declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.32% and closed at 43,408.47, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.002% to 5,917.11, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.11% to finish at 18,966.14.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.97% and ended the session at 38,002.50, led by losses in the Insurance, Transportation Equipment, and Power sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.04% and ended the day at 8,323.00, led by losses in the Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, and A-REITs sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 declined 0.73% to 23,346.70, and Nifty 500 slid 0.85% closing at 21,816.45, led by losses in the Public Sector Undertakings, Oil &amp; Gas and Power sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.07% to close at 3,370.40, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.09%, finishing the day at 3,989.30.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng fell 0.53% and closed the session at 19,601.11.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.36%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX slid 0.02%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC declined 0.43%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.20%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 1.70% at $69.94/bbl, and Brent was up 1.58% at $73.95/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose amid escalating Russia-Ukraine missile strikes, overshadowing a larger-than-expected U.S. crude inventory increase.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 6.45% to $3.297.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.78% at $2,672.45, Silver was up 0.35% to $31.115, and Copper fell 0.83% to $4.1210.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures declined 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.24% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.35%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.04% to 106.72, the USD/JPY was down 0.64% to 154.44, and the USD/AUD slid 0.08% to 1.5357.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

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Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Dollar Hovers Near 52-Week High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Tuesday, November 19th, U.S. markets ended mixed. Nasdaq rose over 1%, and the S&amp;P 500 closed higher, driven by technology gains as Nvidia surged 4.9% ahead of earnings. Walmart climbed after raising forecasts. Losses eased after Moscow downplayed nuclear tensions. The Dow ended lower.
According to economic data, U.S. housing starts fell 3.1% to 1.311 million in October, down from 1.353 million in September, while building permits dropped 0.6% to an annual rate of 1.416 million.
The majority of S&amp;P 500 sectors rose, led by energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary, while industrials lagged and closed lower.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.28% and closed at 43,268.94, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.40% to 5,917.00, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.04% to finish at 18,987.47.
Asia Markets Today
On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.08% and ended the session at 38,373.50, led by losses in the Paper &amp; Pulp, Gas &amp; Water, and Transport sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.57% and ended the day at 8,326.30, led by losses in the Telecoms Services, Industrials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors.
India Markets closed for Assembly Elections in Maharashtra state.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.66% to close at 3,367.99, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.22%, finishing the day at 3,985.77.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.21% and closed the session at 19,705.01.
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.47%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.47%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 0.34%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.22%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.38% at $69.47/bbl, and Brent was up 0.26% at $73.51/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 2.00% to $3.058.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.14% at $2,627.60, Silver fell 0.98% to $30.957, and Copper rose 0.31% to $4.1550.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures gained 0.15%, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.01%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.40% to 106.63, the USD/JPY rose 0.74% to 155.80, and the USD/AUD rose 0.40% to 1.5370.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar rebounded from a one-week low as safety-haven demand eased, while the yen fell to a three-month low, raising speculation about BOJ intervention.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Mixed, Europe Markets Gain; Gold Slips And Dollar Gains Against Yen - Global Markets Today While US Slept

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-19_07h56_39.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">New Russian Nuclear Doctrine</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-russian-nuclear-doctrine-walmart-breakout-wmt-mc-11192024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Walmart Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of WMT is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The U.S. economy is 70% consumer based.&nbsp; Walmart is the largest retailer in the U.S.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to Walmart's earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows WMT stock gapped up after earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows that WMT stock also gapped up on earnings in the prior two quarters.</li>
<li>Walmart reported earnings better than the whisper numbers.&nbsp; Stocks move based on the difference between reported numbers and whisper numbers.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are the number analysts privately share with their best clients.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are different from the numbers the same analysts publish for public consumption.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the following are the most important points from Walmart earnings:
<ul>
<li>Higher end consumers continue to shift to Walmart.</li>
<li>E-commerce at Walmart, especially quick delivery, is growing rapidly.</li>
<li>Margins are expanding.</li>
<li>Walmart is gaining market share.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, as good as Walmart is doing, investors need to be mindful of the very high valuation for a retailer.&nbsp; Walmart is trading at a trailing PE of 43.&nbsp; However, as Walmart's earnings are growing, forward PE is 30, which is still expensive for a retailer.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, Walmart is in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio from an average price of $19.25.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Prudent investors also watch earnings from home improvement retailer Lowe&#8217;s Companies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOW#NYSE">LOW</a>).&nbsp; Lowe's earnings are a reflection of the consumer, especially remodeling of existing homes.&nbsp; Lowe's earnings are slightly below whisper numbers. &nbsp; As full disclosure, LOW is also in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio and is long from an average of $81.85.</li>
<li>In the early trade, markets are responding to the new Russian doctrine.
<ul>
<li>Stocks are being sold.</li>
<li>Gold and silver are being bought.</li>
<li>Oil is being bought.</li>
<li>The dollar is being bought.</li>
<li>The yen is being bought.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The new Russian doctrine brings the world closer to World War III.&nbsp; The new doctrine is in response to the U.S. allowing Ukraine to fire U.S. manufactured long range missiles on targets inside Russia.</li>
<li>Prudent investors should note the following three elements of the new Russian doctrine.
<ul>
<li>An attack on Russia by any country supported by a nuclear power will be considered a joint attack on Russia.</li>
<li>A massive aerial attack could trigger a nuclear response from Russia.&nbsp;</li>
<li>In reference to NATO, an aggression by a member of the coalition will be viewed as aggression by the entire bloc.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the new Russian doctrine is squarely directed at the U.S.&nbsp; The purpose appears to be to persuade Trump to stop supporting Ukraine and force Ukraine to cede territory in Eastern Ukraine to Russia.&nbsp; Further, in The Arora Report analysis, the ultimate solution is likely going to be the U.S. forcing Ukraine to give Eastern Ukraine to Russia as per Russian wishes.&nbsp; This has been a long standing Arora call.</li>
<li>For the first time ever, Ukraine has attacked a warehouse inside Russia using long range missiles manufactured by the U.S. &nbsp; The missile attack was conducted with Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS).&nbsp; The missiles are manufactured by Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), a major U.S. defense contractor.&nbsp; The targeted warehouse housed ammunition and missiles from North Korea.&nbsp; North Korea is promising 100K troops to fight for Russia in Ukraine.</li>
<li>There is no change in the protection band at this time, but we are keeping a close eye on the situation.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Housing</h3>
New housing is beginning to weaken.&nbsp; Here is the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Housing starts came at 1.311M vs. 1.34M consensus.</li>
<li>Building permits came at 1.416M vs. 1.441M consensus.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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Not World War III But New Russian Nuclear Doctrine Brings Selling In Stocks, Walmart Breaks Out

On Monday, November 18, U.S. markets ended mixed, partially recovering losses as investors awaited Nvidia&#8217;s highly anticipated Q3 earnings, seen as a key gauge of AI-driven market momentum. 
Tesla shares climbed on optimism over potential policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration. While analysts note a widening focus beyond Nvidia, its influence on market sentiment remains significant.
In economic data, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose to 46 in November, marking its highest level in seven months, up from 43 in October.
S&amp;P 500 sectors rose Monday, led by energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks, while industrials declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.13% and closed at 43,389.60, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.39% to 5,893.62, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.60% to finish at 18,791.81.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.45% and ended the session at 38,405.00, led by gains in the Paper &amp; Pulp, Steel, and Warehousing sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.89% and ended the day at 8,374.00, led by gains in the Gold, IT, and Telecoms Services sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 closed 0.07% higher at 23,470.45, and Nifty 500 up 0.23% at 21,950.85, led by gains in the Auto, Real Estate and Consumer Durables sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.67% to close at 3,346.01, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.67%, finishing the day at 3,976.89.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.44% and closed the session at 19,663.67.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 1.47%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX slid 1.07%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 1.32.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.50%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.88% at $68.56/bbl, and Brent was down 0.75% at $72.75/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices dipped as Norway&#8217;s Johan Sverdrup oilfield resumed production, offsetting geopolitical tensions and Kazakhstan&#8217;s output cut. A stronger U.S. dollar also pressured prices while investors monitored escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions and weakening market structure signals.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 0.30% to $2.982.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.94% at $2,639.20, Silver gained 0.92% to $31.508, and Copper fell 0.45% to $4.1015.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures declined 0.53%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.38% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.27%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.14% to 106.42, the USD/JPY was down 0.66% to 153.63, and the USD/AUD rose 0.17% to 1.5391.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Up, Europe Markets Slip; Oil Prices Pressured While Gold Strengthens - Global Markets Today While US Slept

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-18_08h07_41-scaled.jpg" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Trump Trade</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-trump-tesla-dogecoin-xbi-mc-11182024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart comparing SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XBI#NYSE">XBI</a>) to Dogecoin to United States Dollar (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows that biotech XBI has lost 5.35% since Trump's election.&nbsp; Companies in this ETF are producing innovative life saving drugs, employ brilliant scientists, own significant intellectual property, and are often bought out at large premiums.</li>
<li>The chart shows that Dogecoin has gained 48.78% since Trump's election.&nbsp; Dogecoin was initially developed as a joke.&nbsp; At one time, it was endorsed by Elon Musk; its name is the same as the acronym of Trump's Department of Government Efficiency.&nbsp; The main use of Dogecoin is speculation by the meme crowd.&nbsp; Dogecoin has an active meme crowd community behind it.</li>
<li>The contrast between the performance of XBI and Dogecoin shown on the chart is emblematic of, in large part, what investors are buying and selling in the wake of Trump's re-election.</li>
<li>On top of investors rushing into speculative assets, sentiment is extremely positive.&nbsp; Historically, extremely positive sentiment is a contrary indicator.&nbsp; In plain English, it means sell.&nbsp; As we have previously stated, sentiment is not a precise timing indicator.</li>
<li>In spite of all the warning signals, The Arora Report call remains to buy the dips.&nbsp; There are two main reasons:
<ul>
<li>There is an old saying on Wall Street that no one has ever been fired for losing clients' money.&nbsp; However, money managers get fired for lagging far behind their benchmarks.&nbsp; No money manager, irrespective of his/her view of the market, wants to commit career suicide by not chasing the market at the year end. Bearish money managers who have missed out on this rally are likely to buy the dips and chase the stock market into the year end.</li>
<li>Right now, hopium is at an extreme.&nbsp; There is nothing in the way of hopium.&nbsp; Since Trump is not yet president, there is no reality to confront hopium.&nbsp; Right now, the momo crowd is buying based on the best case of all of the positives that may come out of Trump's policies, and they are ignoring all of the negatives.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The plan is to start taking profits on new buys before hopium meets reality between Christmas and Trump's inauguration.&nbsp;</li>
<li>As a note of caution, this is not a call for wholesale buying.&nbsp; This is a call to buy on the margin based on the protection band.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Trump's transition team is starting the work to help those who helped Trump get elected.&nbsp; An example is the Trump team wanting to change the rules around self-driving cars in the U.S. to help Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).&nbsp; Musk has been a big supporter of Trump.&nbsp; Over a period of time, expect many such moves from Trump's team.&nbsp; As a full disclosure, The Arora Report gave a signal to buy TSLA after Trump's win.&nbsp; The trade has been nicely profitable.&nbsp; The system has also triggered a signal for a trade around position in TSLA, but publication of the signal may be delayed because TSLA stock has gapped up significantly.</li>
<li>Trump has appointed Chris Wright as the next Department of Energy Secretary.&nbsp; Wright is the CEO of Liberty Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LBRT#NYSE">LBRT</a>).&nbsp; Liberty Energy is engaged in fracking. Wright is also on the board of smart modular reactor company Oklo Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKLO#NYSE">OKLO</a>) that is backed by OpenAI founder Sam Altman.&nbsp; Money is flowing into gas and nuclear stocks on Wright's appointment.</li>
<li>The most important event for the market this week is NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) earnings that will be released on Wednesday after the close.&nbsp; This morning, NVDA is seeing aggressive selling because of a report of Blackwell chips heating up in data centers.</li>
<li>In the early trade, retail investors are aggressively buying Trump stocks based on the weekend pump.&nbsp; Professional investors are front running retail investors as they hope to sell at higher prices to retail investors later.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), TSLA, and Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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A Must See Chart For Prudent Investors, Trump To Help Tesla Dominate, Nvidia Heat Problem

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Benzinga Market Summary: Gold Rebounds, Tesla Rises On Trump Autonomous Driving Policy Hopes, Uber Falls

Gold futures climbed 1.6% on Monday morning in New York, on track to snap a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/24/11/42036300/go-for-gold-says-goldman-sachs-precious-yellow-metal-price-would-rise-in-2025-amid-central-bank-buying-fed-rate-cuts">six-session losing streak</a>.
The yellow metal&#8217;s surge came on the heels of escalating rhetoric from Moscow after reports indicated that President Joe Biden had authorized Ukraine to launch strikes on Russian territory using American-made long-range missiles.
This marks a significant policy shift by the outgoing administration ahead of Donald Trump's January inauguration.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/24/11/42033393/spacexs-gwynne-shotwell-sees-starlink-becoming-profitable-in-2024-bets-on-starship-making-it-one-of-the-most-valuable-companies-amid-reports-of-tender-offer-valuing-it-over-250b">SpaceX&#8217;s Gwynne Shotwell Sees Starlink Becoming Profitable In 2024</a>
Such strikes would represent "a qualitatively new round of tension" with the U.S., Dmitry Peskov, a spokesperson for Russian President Vladimir Putin, said per Reuters.
In September, Putin had already declared that the U.S.&#8217;s allowing Ukraine to fire Western missiles into Russian territory would mean NATO's direct participation in the war.
On Monday, Peskov reiterated this stance, accusing the Biden administration of &#8220;adding fuel to the fire&#8221; as its term winds down.
Reports confirmed that thousands of North Korean troops have been deployed to Russia's Kursk region to aid Moscow's forces following a Ukrainian incursion.
The rally in gold, tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), mirrored gains across the broader commodity complex, with oil and natural gas prices also advancing.
Futures on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil rose 0.8%, while Henry Hub U.S. natural gas futures surge by nearly 4% amid concerns over energy disruptions in Europe.
On Saturday, Gazprom, the state-controlled Russian natural gas giant, halted supplies to Austria, heightening fears of energy shortages in Europe as the winter season approaches. The decision followed Friday's rare hour-long phone call between German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Putin, their first direct communication in nearly two years.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Risk-Off Sentiment Hits European Markets</h3>
The heightened geopolitical risks weighed on European equities Monday. 
The Euro Stoxx 50, broadly tracked by the SPDR DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FEZ#NYSE">FEZ</a>), fell 0.7%, while Italy's FTSE MIB, tracked by the iShares MSCI Italy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWI#NYSE">EWI</a>), was the hardest hit among major indices, sliding 1%. 
A hour ahead the Wall Street market open, futures on major U.S. indices hovered near flat, signaling caution among investors hesitant to buy the dip after last week&#8217;s declines.
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500 index, fell a combined 1.9% on Thursday and Friday as hawkish comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump&#8217;s potential economic policies dampened investor sentiment.
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/24/11/42018463/trumps-post-election-rally-fades-dollar-surges-to-over-1-year-highs-powell-puts-december-interest-rate-cut-into-question-this-week-in-the-market">Trump&#8217;s Post-Election Rally Fades, Dollar Surges To Over 1-Year Highs, Powell Puts December Interest Rate Cut Into Question: This Week In The Market</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Gold, Natural Gas Prices Rally As US-Russia Tensions Escalate Over Ukraine's Long-Range Strikes

Goldman Sachs has projected a substantial increase in gold prices for the coming year, driven by heightened central bank acquisitions and expected reductions in U.S. interest rates.
What Happened: Goldman Sachs has identified gold as a leading commodity trade for 2025, with prices anticipated to reach $3,000 per ounce by December 2025. Analysts, including Daan Struyven, pointed to increasing demand from central banks as a key driver of this forecast, Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-18/goldman-says-go-for-gold-as-central-banks-buy-fed-cuts-in-25">reported</a> on Monday.
"Go for gold," analysts said in a note.
They also foresee a cyclical boost from rising investments in exchange-traded funds (ETFs) as the Federal Reserve enacts rate cuts. Additionally, geopolitical risks, particularly concerning Iran, could influence oil supply due to potential increased U.S. support for Israel and stricter sanctions enforcement.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42028797/tesla-soars-over-5-in-overnight-trading-as-trump-administration-reportedly-seeks-to-ease-fsd-norms?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tesla Soars Over 5% In Overnight Trading As Trump Administration Reportedly Seeks To Ease FSD Norms</a>
Gold ETFs have demonstrated robust performance in terms of year-to-date (YTD) returns, as per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>. SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) has risen 24.05%, iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAU#NYSE">IAU</a>) increased by 24.22%, SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLDM#NYSE">GLDM</a>) climbed by 24.38%, abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SGOL#NYSE">SGOL</a>) gained 24.29%, and iShares Gold Trust Micro (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAUM#NYSE">IAUM</a>) advanced 24.08% year-to-date.
Why It Matters: The forecast by Goldman Sachs comes amid significant movements in the gold market. In October, the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), the largest physically backed gold ETF, experienced its highest monthly<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41663633/biggest-gold-etf-posts-highest-monthly-inflows-in-2-5-years-as-investors-rush-to-"> inflows in 2.5 years earlier this month,</a> driven by economic and policy uncertainties surrounding the U.S. presidential election. This influx pushed the fund&#8217;s assets under management to $79.7 billion by the end of October, with $1.8 billion in net inflows for the month.
However, the sentiment shifted dramatically after Donald Trump&#8216;s election victory, leading to a<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/24/11/41888750/gold-etf-hit-with-1-billion-outflow-investors-dump-safe-haven-asset-after-trump-win"> $1 billion outflow </a>from the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) in early November. This marked the largest weekly outflow in over two years, as investors moved away from the safe-haven asset, anticipating a strong dollar under Trump&#8217;s second term.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42022585/michael-van-de-poppe-says-bitcoin-ethereum-and-altcoins-close-to-the-point-where-investors-can-buy-the-dip?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Michael Van De Poppe Says Bitcoin, Ethereum And Altcoins Close To The Point Where Investors Can &#8216;Buy The Dip&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Image via Shutterstock

GLDM

IAUM

SGOL

'Go For Gold,' Says Goldman Sachs: Precious Yellow Metal Price Would Rise In 2025 Amid Central Bank Buying, Fed Rate Cuts

On Friday, November 15, U.S. markets closed lower, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq recording their steepest losses in two weeks. The decline was fueled by worries over delayed interest rate cuts, reactions to economic data, and Trump&#8217;s cabinet picks, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., raising vaccine policy concerns.
Related: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42013119/whats-going-on-with-large-european-and-us-vaccine-makers" rel="noreferrer noopener">European And U.S. Vaccine Stocks Are Under Pressure &#8211; Here&#8217;s Why</a>
According to economic data, U.S. export prices rose by 0.8% in October, while import prices increased by 0.3%. Retail sales grew 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding market expectations of 0.3% but lower than September&#8217;s revised 0.8% gain.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by losses in tech, communication services, and healthcare, while utilities and financials gained, defying the broader market trend.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.47% and closed at 43,750.86, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.50% to 5,949.17, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.64% to finish at 19,107.65.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 1.05% and ended the session at 38,232.50, led by losses in the Real Estate, Shipbuilding, and Financial Services sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.18% and ended the day at 8,300.20, led by gains in the Consumer Staples, Utilities and Gold sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 closed 0.50% lower at 23,462.70, and Nifty 500 down 0.28% at 21,901.10, led by losses in the Technology, Oil &amp; Gas, and Fast Moving Consumer Goods sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 0.21% to close at 3,323.85, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.46%, finishing the day at 3,950.38.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.77% and closed the session at 19,576.61.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.27%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX slid 0.08%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.00%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.30%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.70% at $67.39/bbl, and Brent was up 0.73% at $71.56/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose amid the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict. However, market gains were tempered by weak demand in China and a global oil surplus forecast. U.S. support for Ukrainian strikes against Russia increased geopolitical risks.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 2.34% to $2.888.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.99% at $2,595.80, Silver gained 1.27% to $30.820, and Copper rose 0.46% to $4.0830.</li>
<li>Gold prices rose, supported by a slowing dollar rally. Investors await Federal Reserve comments amid strong U.S. economic data reducing expectations for December rate cuts.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures declined 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.02%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.35%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.02% to 106.70, the USD/JPY rose 0.41% to 154.97, and the USD/AUD rose 0.08% to 1.5484.</li>
<li>The dollar strengthened against the yen as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled potential future rate hikes without confirming timing.</li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Mostly Lower, Dollar's Uptrend Continues - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Benzinga examined the prospects for<a href="http://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas"> many investors&#8217; favorite stocks</a> over the last week — here&#8217;s a look at some of our top stories.
The major indexes, which had been climbing following Trump&#8217;s election victory, lost momentum this week, with the S&amp;P 500 down 2.1%, the Nasdaq dropping 3.2%, and the Dow shedding 1.2%. 
October consumer inflation matched expectations, but producer inflation exceeded forecasts, sparking concerns about the sustainability of disinflation as the year closes. 
Investor sentiment weakened further after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell made unexpectedly hawkish comments, emphasizing the Fed&#8217;s cautious approach and lack of urgency to reduce interest rates. As a result, market expectations for a December rate cut have significantly decreased, leaving traders uncertain <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/24/11/42018463/trumps-post-election-rally-fades-dollar-surges-to-over-1-year-highs-powell-puts-december-interest-rate-cut-into-question-this-week-in-the-market">about the Fed's next steps.</a>
Benzinga provides daily reports on the stocks most popular with investors. Here are a few of this past week&#8217;s most bullish and bearish posts that are worth another look.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Bulls</h3>
&#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41988194/trump-plans-to-erase-ev-tax-credit-analyst-says-its-net-bullish-calls-sell-off-wrong-knee-jerk-reaction">Trump Plans To Erase EV Tax Credit: Tesla Analyst Says It&#8217;s &#8216;Net Bullish,&#8217; Calls Sell-Off &#8216;Wrong Knee-Jerk Reaction&#8217;</a>,&#8221; by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/adam-eckert">Adam Eckert</a>, discusses Donald Trump&#8217;s plan to end the $7,500 EV tax credit, which initially caused a sell-off in Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) shares. However, Wedbush analyst Dan Ives sees it as a &#8220;net bullish&#8221; move for Tesla long-term, with minimal impact due to the company's strong market position.
&#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41897397/bitcoin-to-peak-between-100k-150k-solana-to-top-600-this-cycle-say-hedge-funds-vcs">Bitcoin To Peak Between $100K-150K, Solana To Top $600 This Cycle, Say Hedge Funds, VCs</a>,&#8221; by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/aniket-verma">Aniket Verma</a> reveals predictions from venture capital and hedge fund managers that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) could peak at $150,000 and Solana (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/sol/usd">SOL</a>) at $600 this bull cycle, reflecting tempered optimism amid recent market volatility.
&#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/sports/24/11/42015289/disney-q4-report-had-a-lot-to-like-analyst-calls-it-a-high-quality-profit-growth-performer">Disney Q4 Earnings Show &#8216;A Lot To Like&#8217;: Analyst Calls It &#8216;High-Quality&#8217; Profit Growth Performer</a>,&#8221; by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/chris-katje">Chris Katje</a>, highlights The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIS#NYSE">DIS</a>) exceeding Q4 direct-to-consumer profit estimates and unveiling multi-year guidance, prompting analysts like Guggenheim&#8217;s Michael Morris to raise price targets, citing double-digit EPS growth expected by 2026.
For additional bullish calls of the past week, check out the following:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/24/11/41884655/bank-of-america-predicts-positive-stock-re-rating-for-wells-fargo-after-asset-cap-removal">Bank Of America Predicts Positive Stock Re-Rating For Wells Fargo After Asset Cap Removal</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/41890600/anthony-scaramucci-optimistic-of-a-us-strategic-bitcoin-reserve-trumps-victory-accelerated-the-cycle">Anthony Scaramucci Optimistic On US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: &#8216;Trump&#8217;s Victory Accelerated The Cycle&#8217;</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/41991912/sam-altman-backed-oklo-reports-q3-earnings-momentum-is-building-every-week">Sam Altman-Backed Oklo Reports Q3 Earnings: &#8216;Momentum Is Building Every Week&#8217;</a>
The Bears
&#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/41932146/spirit-airlines-shares-plunge-nearly-63-after-hours-as-it-delays-q3-results-mulls-equity-cancellation">Spirit Airlines Nears Bankruptcy, Creditors May Approve Equity &#8216;Cancellation:&#8217; Here&#8217;s What It Means For Investors As Shares Fall With A Thud</a>,&#8221; by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/rishabhmishra-benzinga-com">Rishabh Mishra</a>, details Spirit Airlines Inc.&#8216;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAVE#NYSE">SAVE</a>) 63% share plunge after delaying Q3 earnings and entering restructuring talks, potentially canceling existing equity. 
&#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/24/11/41888750/gold-etf-hit-with-1-billion-outflow-investors-dump-safe-haven-asset-after-trump-win">Gold ETF Hit With $1 Billion Outflow: Investors Dump Safe Haven Asset After Trump Win</a>,&#8221; by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/piero-cingari">Piero Cingari</a>, highlights a $1 billion outflow from SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) as investors shift from gold, citing expectations of a stronger dollar and economic growth under Donald Trump&#8217;s re-election, while Bitcoin gains popularity as &#8220;digital gold.&#8221;
&#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41986341/what-is-plug-powers-future-analysts-warn-of-cash-crunch-and-slow-hydrogen-market-growth">What Is Plug Power&#8217;s Future? Analysts Warn Of Cash Crunch And Slow Hydrogen Market Growth</a>,&#8221; by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/lekha-gupta">Lekha Gupta</a>, highlights concerns over Plug Power Inc.&#8216;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLUG#NASDAQ">PLUG</a>) high cash burn and weak Q3 results, with analysts forecasting revenue below estimates for 2024 and 2025, despite potential DOE loan support and European hydrogen project backing.
For more bearish takes, be sure to see these posts:
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/media/24/11/41941228/att-data-breach-exposes-50-billion-records-hackers-identified-ransom-paid">AT&amp;T Data Breach Exposes 50 Billion Records: Hackers Identified, Ransom Paid</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41880110/solar-renewables-stocks-crash-after-trump-win-should-you-buy-now-at-cheap-valuations">Solar, Renewables Stocks Crash After Trump Win: Should You Buy Now At Cheap Valuations?</a>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/24/11/41902202/trumps-china-hawks-rumored-for-top-roles-yuan-hits-3-month-low">Chinese Currency Hits 3-Month Low: Trump&#8217;s Anti-China Cabinet Appointments Rattle Investors</a>
Keep up with all the latest breaking news and trading ideas by following<a href="https://twitter.com/Benzinga"> Benzinga</a><a href="http://twitter.com/Benzinga"> on Twitter</a>.
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

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Benzinga Bulls And Bears: Tesla, Disney, Gold — And Hedge Funds Project Bitcoin To Hit $100K-$150K

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-15_08h38_46.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Powell Speaks The Truth</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-powell-speech-trump-appointments-spy-mc-11152024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&amp;P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>It is worth a reminder that The Arora Report is politically agnostic.&nbsp; Our sole job is to help our members extract the maximum amount of money out of the markets with the least possible risk.</li>
<li>The price action on the chart shows that the rip roaring Trump rally is taking a breather.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the stock market is still above the breakout line.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that the stock market has pulled back, reflecting a loss of momentum. The stock market is still overbought.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the volume remains low.&nbsp; This indicates that institutional investors are not rushing to buy stocks.</li>
<li>Yesterday, Powell spoke that truth – the market did not like it.&nbsp; Powell said, "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates."&nbsp; Powell elaborated, "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully."</li>
<li>Powell's remarks brought some selling into stocks and bonds.</li>
<li>This morning, in the early trade, selling continues.</li>
<li>The reason for some selling is that the prevailing wisdom on Wall Street has been that another rate cut in December was a sure thing.&nbsp; The Arora Report has been questioning Wall Street's wisdom and sharing with you that the data does not support another rate cut.</li>
<li>Some conservative commentators are upset believing that the reason Powell started rate cuts with a 50 bps cut was to help Kamala Harris get elected.&nbsp; Now that Trump has been elected, Powell is in no hurry to cut rates.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, even though the data does not support a rate cut in December, Powell is going to feel pressure from Trump and Republicans to cut rates.&nbsp; There is also a significant amount of data between now and the December Fed meeting.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, based on a 360 degree view, including the political pressure and the pressure from Wall Street to cut rates, the probability of a rate cut in December is now about 60%.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>There is consternation about several Trump picks.&nbsp; Impacting the market most are Trump's picks of RKF Jr, Matt Gaetz, and Pete Hegseth.&nbsp; These picks are bringing selling in vaccine makers such as Moderna Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRNA#NASDAQ">MRNA</a>), BioNTech SE ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>), Novavax Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVAX#NASDAQ">NVAX</a>), Merck &amp; Co Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRK#NYSE">MRK</a>), and Pfizer Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PFE#NYSE">PFE</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in other healthcare stocks, including weight loss drug companies Eli Lilly And Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) and Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVO#NYSE">NVO</a>), and packaged food stocks such as The Kraft Heinz Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KHC#NASDAQ">KHC</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in defense stocks such as Boeing Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), and Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in big tech stocks.</li>
<li>The latest economic data is strong.&nbsp; The U.S. economy is about 70% consumer based.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to retail sales.&nbsp; Here are the details of the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Retail sales came at 0.4% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
<li>Retail sales ex-auto came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>There are hundreds of indicators.&nbsp; At The Arora Report, the system has been refined through decades of research to share with you only those indicators that matter.&nbsp; Normally, we do not mention the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index.&nbsp; Today, we are mentioning it due to its exceptional strength.&nbsp; The index came at 31.2 vs. 3.3 consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that manufacturing in the New York area has picked up steam. &nbsp; If similar strength is happening in the rest of the country, that would argue against further cutting interest rates. The problem for investors is that stock valuations are so high that to sustain them, rate cuts are needed.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Even the slightest dips in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) are being bought.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Politics

BNTX

MRNA

NVAX

Powell Speaks The Truth - Market Does Not Like It, Consternation About Kennedy, Gaetz, And Hegseth

On Thursday, Nov. 14, U.S. markets ended lower after Fed Chair Jerome Powell dampened hopes for an interest rate cut, citing steady economic growth, a strong job market, and persistent inflation. Traders reduced bets on a December cut, leading to declines in the Dow, S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq.
Powell&#8217;s remarks followed data showing a rise in producer prices for October, slightly higher than expected.
Related: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/treasuries/24/11/41993899/powells-hawkish-remarks-shake-markets-stocks-fall-dollar-rockets-bitcoin-dips" rel="noreferrer noopener">Powell&#8217;s Hawkish Remarks Shake Markets: Stocks Fall, Dollar Rockets, Bitcoin Dips</a>
Economic data showed that U.S. jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 217,000 for the week ending Nov. 9, beating estimates of 223,000. Producer prices increased by 0.2% in October, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% rise in September.
The majority of S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, and healthcare. However, tech and energy stocks ended higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.47% and closed at 43,750.86, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.50% to 5,949.17, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.64% to finish at 19,107.65.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.35% and ended the session at 38,637.50, led by gains in the Warehousing, Shipbuilding, and Trading sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.74% and ended the day at 8,285.20, led by gains in the Utilities, Gold, and Financials sectors.</li>
<li>India Markets were closed for the Guru Nanak Jayanti holiday.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 1.45% to close at 3,330.73, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 1.75%, finishing the day at 3,968.83.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 0.09% and closed the session at 19,426.34.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.23%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.14%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell0.04%.</li>
<li>UK&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.02%.</li>
<li>European stocks were mixed after weak U.K. growth data, higher French inflation, and hawkish Fed remarks.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.35% at $67.78/bbl, and Brent was down 1.28% at $71.63/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices declined, heading for a weekly loss amid concerns over weakening Chinese demand and fewer anticipated U.S. rate cuts. Lower refinery output and slowing factory growth in China added pressure.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 2.44% to $2.717.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.04% at $2,573.80, Silver gained 0.16% to $30.610, and Copper rose 1.6% to $4.1420.</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures decreased 0.44%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.63%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.88%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.15% to 106.51, USD/JPY was down 0.60% at 155.30, and USD/AUD slid 0.25% to 1.5453.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar hit near one-year highs after Fed Chair Powell&#8217;s hawkish comments boosted Treasury yields, pressuring equities. The dollar&#8217;s surge weighed on the euro, gold, and oil prices.</li>
</ul>
Image via Pexels

Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Fed's Hawkish Comments Boost Dollar - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's unexpectedly hawkish remarks on Thursday sent markets into a tailspin. Major U.S. equity indices closed in the red, and the dollar soared for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">a fifth consecutive session</a>.
In a speech to Dallas business leaders, Powell highlighted the remarkable strength of the U.S. economy, indicating that there's no need for the Fed to &#8220;be in a hurry to lower rates.&#8221;
He reiterated the central bank's commitment to reaching its 2% inflation target, stressing the need for careful decision-making as inflation remains above desired levels.
He highlighted productivity gains, which he said have &#8220;grown faster over the past five years than at any point in the two decades preceding the pandemic,&#8221; positioning the U.S. economy as &#8220;the best-performing among major economies.&#8221;
Addressing the October <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41971830/producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-in-october-should-traders-rethink-interest-rate-cut-path">producer price index (PPI) uptick</a>, Powell labeled it &#8220;more than an upward bump&#8221; but maintained confidence in the trajectory toward the 2% inflation goal.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Markets Reassess Interest Rate Path: Traders Are Less Confident On A December Cut</h3>
Powell&#8217;s comments impacted the interest-rate market, with fed futures now reflecting a reduced likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut in December. 
The CME FedWatch tool shows the odds of such a move dropped to 58%, sharply down from around 80% earlier in the day.
The S&amp;P 500, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), closed down 0.6%, fully erasing gains from last week&#8217;s rate cut. Energy was the only sector in positive territory, rising 0.4%, while industrials and health care led declines, each down 0.7%.
Top performers in the S&amp;P 500 included Tapestry Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPR#NYSE">TPR</a>), Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WYNN#NASDAQ">WYNN</a>), and First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>), which rose 12.8%, 8.7%, and 7.2%, respectively. Among the laggards were Leidos Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LDOS#NYSE">LDOS</a>) and Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>), down 13.6% and 11.4%, respectively.
Tech stocks, as tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), declined 0.7%, marking a fourth consecutive loss. Blue chips followed by the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) slipped 0.5%, while small caps in the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) underperformed, falling 1.3%.
The dollar continued to attract liquidity, with the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) logging a fifth consecutive gain, reaching levels last seen in late October 2023.
Treasury yields also rose, with the 10-year yield closing at 4.46%. Gold, tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), marked its fifth straight loss.
In crypto markets, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was 1.7% lower in the past 24 hours to $88,013 at 5:21 p.m. ET, on track for its worst day in November.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41984852/trumps-red-wave-pushes-emerging-market-stocks-to-2-month-lows-volatility-expected-to-remain-elevated">Trump&#8217;s Red Wave Pushes Emerging Market Stocks To 2-Month Lows: Volatility &#8216;Expected To Remain Elevated&#8217; </a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

FSLR

LDOS

SMCI

WYNN

Powell's Hawkish Remarks Shake Markets: Stocks Fall, Dollar Rockets, Bitcoin Dips

On Wednesday, November 13th, U.S. markets ended mixed. The Dow and S&amp;P 500 edged higher while the Nasdaq dipped. October CPI data met expectations, supporting bets on a December Fed rate cut. Core CPI rose 0.3%. Consumer discretionary stocks gained, driven by optimism over potential rate cuts.
According to economic data, the annual U.S. inflation rate increased to 2.6% in October, up from 2.4% in September, matching market expectations. The consumer price index (CPI) climbed 0.2% on a monthly basis in October.
Consumer discretionary, energy and real estate led S&amp;P 500 gains Wednesday, while tech and communication services stocks declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.11% and closed at 43,958.19, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.02% to 5,985.38, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.26% to finish at 19,230.72.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.61% and ended the session at 38,504.00, led by losses in the Precision Instruments, Automobiles &amp; Parts, and Power sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.37% and ended the day at 8,224.00, led by gains in the IT, Financials and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.02% at 23,555.50, and Nifty 500 was up 0.30% at 21,981.65, led by losses in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods, Healthcare, and Public Sector Undertakings sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 1.73% to close at 3,379.84, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 1.73%, finishing the day at 4,039.62.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 1.96% and closed the session at 19,435.81.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 1.27%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 1.27%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.86%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.20%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.18% at $68.55/bbl, and Brent was up 0.19% at $72.44/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices steadied as a strong U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured the market.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.24% to $2.946.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 1.43% at $2,549.60, Silver declined 2.42% to $29.922, and Copper slipped 1.83% to $4.0088.</li>
<li>Gold fell to a two-month low as a stronger dollar and sticky U.S. inflation data weighed on prices. Copper hit a three-month low on weak Chinese stimulus and tariff concerns.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures increased 0.13%, S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.10% and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.08%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.52% to 107.03, the USD/JPY rose 0.45% to 156.16, and the USD/AUD rose 0.40% to 1.5481.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar reached a one-year high, driven by inflation data and Trump&#8217;s election win. Yen neared intervention levels as USD/JPY surged.</li>
</ul>
Image Via Shutterstock

Dollar Hits One-Year High; China Falls, Gold Hits Two-Month Low - Global Markets Today While US Slept

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-13_08h38_15.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Extreme Sentiment</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-inflation-data-cpi-government-efficiency-tlt-mc-11132024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, bonds have the potential to spoil the stock market's party.&nbsp; Prudent investors need to keep an eye on bonds.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that yields are pulling back in the early trade after the release of the Consumer Price Index.</li>
<li>The chart shows that on Trump's win, TLT approached the high band of the support zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the momo crowd ran TLT up back into the bottom resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that TLT failed to breakout above the bottom resistance zone and has now pulled back below the bottom band of the resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows two spot on Arora calls:
<ul>
<li>Contrary Arora call that bonds will fall when the Fed cut rates. This call was made at a time when everyone was buying bonds.</li>
<li>Arora call on the impact of the election on bonds</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Inflation data came inline with consensus. &nbsp;Here are the details:
<ul>
<li>Headline CPI came at 0.2% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
<li>Core CPI came at 0.3% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should pay attention to the fact that the 0.3% core inflation rate is 3.6% annualized.&nbsp; The Fed's stated target is 2%.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The extreme positive sentiment is evident from the following this morning in the early trade:
<ul>
<li>Bonds rose and yields fell on inflation data.</li>
<li>Stock futures were lower prior to the data. Aggressive buying came into stocks after the data.&nbsp; Buying is aggressive in Trump linked stocks such as Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).</li>
<li>&nbsp;Bitcoin was pulling back before CPI was released.&nbsp; Aggressive buying came in after the release of the data.</li>
<li>None of the foregoing would make sense based on the data alone, but Wall Street's thinking is that the Fed will be under pressure from Trump to cut rates in December – the fact that the data does not support a rate cut does not matter because of the political pressure.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Momo gurus are already out with a new reason to buy stocks – inflation was hot but not worse than expected.</li>
<li>Trump has announced that Musk and Ramaswamy will head the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).&nbsp; On a lighter note, Doge is the crypto coin that was developed as a joke and subsequently championed by Musk.&nbsp; An indication of extreme sentiment is that the joke coin is now worth more than Ford Motor Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>).&nbsp; On a serious note, if Musk is truly able to cut $2T out of the federal budget, expect a recession and a 20% &#8211; 40% drop in the stock market.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, the primary driving force behind this stock market rise is the excess money in the system.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims and Producer Price Index will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET and maybe market moving.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">China</h3>
There is a sigh of relief in Chinese and Asian markets in that even though Trump is appointing China hawks, he has not appointed extreme China hawks so far.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>),&nbsp;Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is seeing aggressive buying.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Buying In Stocks On Inflation Data, Musk And Ramaswamy Doge

Benzinga Market Summary: CPI Falls In Line With Estimates, Chip Stocks Pull Back, Gold Continues Lower As US Dollar Rises

Investors can breathe a sigh of relief as October inflation data met economists&#8217; expectations, though the annual headline rate showed a slight uptick <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41938762/october-inflation-rate-rises-to-2-6-as-expected-december-interest-rate-cut-remains-uncertain">from the previous month.</a>
As anticipated, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.6% year-over-year in October, marking an increase from September's 2.4% but snapping six straight months of declines.
Excluding food and energy, core inflation held steady at 3.3% for the third consecutive month, highlighting some stickiness in underlying price pressures that remain above the Fed&#8217;s 2% target.
In response to the data, speculators raised their expectations for an interest-rate cut, with increased bets on a 25-basis-point reduction in December. Market-implied probabilities now indicate a 79% likelihood of a December rate cut, up from 58% before the CPI report, as per the CME FedWatch tool.
Following the release, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari expressed optimism about inflation&#8217;s trajectory, stating on Bloomberg TV, &#8220;I have confidence inflation is headed in the right direction.&#8221; 
On Tuesday, Kashkari had flagged the risk of a rate pause in December if inflation data <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/24/11/41919011/feds-kashkari-warns-of-december-interest-rate-pause-risk-surprises-to-the-upside">surprises to the upside. </a>
&#8220;I am not yet seeing a lot of upside inflation risks; the bigger risk is getting stuck,&#8221; he added on Wednesday. 
Markets reacted positively, with U.S. equity futures slightly rising, while Treasury yields and the dollar eased amid increased rate-cut expectations.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
<ul>
<li>The S&amp;P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), was 0.2% higher. </li>
<li>The Nasdaq 100, followed by the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), inched 0.15% higher.</li>
<li>Small caps outperformed large-cap counterparts, as the iShares Russell 2000 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>), rallied 1.1% minutes ahead the New York open.</li>
<li>Top-performing S&amp;P 500 stocks during the premarket trading were Charter Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CHTR#NASDAQ">CHTR</a>), GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEV#NYSE">GEV</a>) and Albemarle Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALB#NYSE">ALB</a>) up 5.7%, 4% and 3.7%, respectively. </li>
<li>Skyworks Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SWKS#NASDAQ">SWKS</a>), Fair Isaac Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FICO#NYSE">FICO</a>) and Bio-Techne Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TECH#NASDAQ">TECH</a>) were the laggards, down 6.7%, 4.1% and 2.8%, respectively. </li>
<li>Gold prices rose 0.3%, following three straight sessions of declines. </li>
<li>The U.S. dollar index (DXY) slightly eased 0.1%. </li>
<li>Treasury-linked ETFs rose, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) up by 0.7%. </li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="503" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/13092009/image-135-1024x503.png" alt="" class="wp-image-645406" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/13092009/image-135-1024x503.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/13092009/image-135-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/13092009/image-135-768x377.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/13092009/image-135-1536x754.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/13092009/image-135.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41917731/wall-street-veteran-predicts-sp-500-to-hit-10000-by-2029-roaring-2020s">Wall Street Veteran Predicts S&amp;P 500 To Hit 10,000 By 2029: &#8216;Roaring 2020s&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>

CHTR

FICO

SWKS

TECH

Markets Breathe Sigh Of Relief After In-Line Inflation Data: Stocks Rebound As Small Caps, Bonds Soar

On Tuesday, November 12, U.S. markets ended lower as investors took profits after a post-election rally, anticipating upcoming inflation data. Worries over Trump&#8217;s inflationary policies, rising Treasury yields, and weak European markets intensified the decline.
According to economic data, U.S. consumer inflation expectations eased to 2.9% in October, down from 3% in the prior four months. The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index jumped 13.4% in November to 53.2.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, led by materials, health care, and real estate, while tech and communication services rose against the trend.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.86% and closed at 43,910.98, the S&amp;P 500 fell 0.29% to 5,984.00, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.09% to finish at 19,281.40.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 1.55% and ended the session at 38,740.50, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Shipbuilding, and Trading sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.75% and ended the day at 8,193.40, led by losses in the Metals &amp; Mining, Financials and Industrials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 1.36% at 23,559.05, and the Nifty 500 was down 1.67% at 21,957.50, led by losses in the Real Estate, Capital Goods and Metals sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.51% to close at 3,439.28, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.61%, finishing the day at 4,110.89.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 0.12% and closed the session at 19,823.45.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.08%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained0.12%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose0.10%.</li>
<li>U.K.'sU.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.12%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.88% at $68.70/bbl, and Brent was up 0.82% at $72.48/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose due to supply tightness but remained near two-week lows after OPEC cut its demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025, citing weakness in China.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.17% to $2.873.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.33% at $2,615.40, Silver gained 0.92% to $31.040, and Copper slipped 0.07% to $4.1338.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures decreased 0.12%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.15%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index is up 0.02% to 105.97, the USD/JPY rose 0.22% to 154.94, and the USD/AUD rose 0.10% to 1.5321.
Image via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Down, Europe Up, Dollar Makes 5-Month High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-12_08h12_50.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Incredible Gain</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-tesla-gains-trump-appointments-tsla-mc-11122024">click here </a>for an enlarged chart of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of TSLA stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows TSLA stock broke out on Trump's election.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, the chart shows the Arora buy signal that was given in the premarket after Trump's election.</li>
<li>The chart shows that TSLA stock hit the low band of the resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that this morning TSLA stock is backing off.&nbsp; This is an early indication that the Trump rally may be slowing.</li>
<li>Tesla's CEO Elon Musk spent $130M supporting Trump.&nbsp; Since Trump's election, TSLA stock has added $344B in market value.&nbsp; This is an incredible gain.&nbsp; There are additional gains in the private market value of Musk's SpaceX.</li>
<li>&nbsp;Wall Street believes that Musk's relationship with Trump will yield substantial gains for both Tesla and SpaceX.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, TSLA has been added to The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. &nbsp; The TSLA position is suitable for aggressive investors.&nbsp; Those who are not aggressive may consider a smaller quantity.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that TSLA is overbought and may pullback.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, markets across the globe are now focused on Trump's appointments for key positions.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Trump appears to be picking China hawks.&nbsp; As a result, stocks in Hong Kong fell 2.8%.</li>
<li>Trump appears to be picking Iran hawks who are very pro-Israel.&nbsp; This is causing markets in Asia and Europe to fall.&nbsp; This is also bringing buying into oil and gold.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Trump appears to be picking deportation hawks.&nbsp; This is impacting markets in Mexico and South America.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the rally yesterday was driven primarily by retail investors after the weekend pump on social media.&nbsp; Prudent investors need to be careful that the gurus who pump on social media often dump into the rallies caused by their followers buying.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rally is slowing as it approaches $90,000.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Musk Spends $130M – Tesla Gains $344B On Trump Election, Stock Market Focusing On Trump Appointments

If I Could Only Own 3 ETFs For The Next Year

The Dow rallied in the final hour of trading, turning in a 139-point win and snapping a four-day losing streak, while the S&P 500 finished the day unchanged.

Nasdaq Logs Muted Loss Before Nvidia Earnings Call

UBS joins Goldman among big banks predicting resumption of gold rally

Gold extended its rally a little higher. Silver fell in sympathy with stocks, but unfortunately did not recover as they had done.

Stocks And Precious Metals Charts - Drift Back Up

Are Red Lines Broken? Nuclear Threat Out Of Russia And Gold As The Doomsday Hedge

A look at the long-term outlook for gold.

Gold Will Double Or Triple If They Monetize Debt In Trump's Term

Commodity Roundup: Natural gas turns out to be more sensitive to geopolitical risks, ING says

Gold price prediction based on the technical analysis.

Gold Trading Strategy Today - Thursday, Nov. 21

Georgia Broker-Dealer Learns Costly Lesson From FINRA On ETNs Vs. ETFs: A Discussion On ETF Construction And Effects On Risk And Taxes

Markets react to Trump's win with optimism, but inflation, debt, and economic woes persist—precious metals shine as a hedge in uncertain times...

Post-Election Markets: Inflation, Debt, And The Case For Precious Metals

AAAU

BITO

CPER

GDXJ

IBIT

NUGT

OUNZ

PALL

PHYS

PSLV

RING

SCHD

SILJ

SIVR

SOYB

WEAT

Screenshot 2024-05-29 at 5.35.33 PM

ADVZF

NEWP

PAAS

Precious metal prices are significantly influenced by investor sentiment, much like stocks and bonds. This can lead to routine price fluctuations, sometimes large and erratic, where the volatility can create both challenges and opportunities for investors. 

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