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Northrop Grumman

Northrop Grumman is a diversified defense contractor providing aeronautics, defense, and space systems. The company's aerospace segment creates the fuselage for the massive F-35 program and produces autonomous and piloted aircraft such as Global Hawk drones and the new B-21 bomber. Defense systems makes artillery and missile ammunition and guidance systems, missile defense systems, and maintains and upgrades numerous military aircraft. Mission systems creates and integrates a variety of radar, navigation, and communication systems for avionics, weapons control, and countermeasures on a range of platforms from helicopters to destroyers. Space systems produces satellites, sensors, space structures, and manufactures long-range missiles and rocket motors.

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Amid rising tensions between the United States and China, a senior adviser from Beijing has issued a stark warning about the potential repercussions of President-elect Donald Trump&#8216;s proposed tariffs on Chinese goods. The adviser highlighted the significant impact these tariffs could have on the U.S. economy, particularly the defense sector.
What Happened: Ding Yifan, a researcher at the State Council&#8217;s Development Research Center, cautioned that Trump&#8217;s plan to impose a 60% tariff could severely affect American manufacturers. This includes the defense industry, which relies heavily on affordable components from China, the Financial Times <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/6d0484e8-e65f-478d-8548-4e3aa37ed339">reported</a> on Tuesday.
Ding stated that such tariffs could potentially reduce U.S. GDP growth by half. He also noted that Chinese suppliers might bypass these tariffs by rerouting products through other countries. His comments were made during a government-organized briefing for international media.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41889911/whats-going-on-with-china-based-stocks-alibaba-jd-com-pdd-holdings-baidu-nio?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">What&#8217;s Going On With China-Based Stocks Alibaba, JD.com, PDD Holdings, Baidu, Nio?</a>
He emphasized the crucial role of Chinese suppliers for U.S. military enterprises, warning that production could face significant disruptions without these supplies. 
"If [U.S. leaders] really implement the policies for trade friction or a confrontation, it will have severe consequences," Ding said.
Additionally, Ding pointed out that American consumers have historically shouldered the cost of tariffs, citing studies from the Peterson Institute for International Economics. He suggested that while China could mitigate some impacts by shifting trade routes, the U.S. might face greater economic turmoil.
Why It Matters: The warning from Beijing comes as Chinese President Xi Jinping <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42025284/xi-jinping-tells-joe-biden-china-is-ready-to-work-with-trump-as-tariff-threat-looms">expressed China&#8217;s willingness </a>to collaborate with the U.S. government to manage differences and expand cooperation. This statement was made during a meeting with President Joe Biden, emphasizing China&#8217;s readiness to work with any U.S. administration.
Meanwhile, tech investor Peter Thiel has predicted that<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42028954/peter-thiel-says-trumps-60-china-tariff-would-be-very-very-bad-for-beijing-heres-whats-at-stake"> Trump&#8217;s proposed tariffs</a> would be detrimental to Chinese companies, though he believes the impact on American consumers would be &#8220;mildly negative.&#8221; Furthermore, Chinese tech giants like Alibaba Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BABA#NYSE">BABA</a>) and ByteDance are expanding their presence in Silicon Valley, seeking to attract top U.S. talent in the AI sector amidst U.S. efforts to block progress.
Price Action: As per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, defense stocks have risen over the past one year running up to the November presidential elections. In terms of year-to-date (YTD) returns, Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) saw a 16.41% increase, while Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) witnessed a 3.95% increase. Beleaguered company Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) was down by 42.85% due to its own trouble while Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) was up by 3.95%.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42025284/xi-jinping-tells-joe-biden-china-is-ready-to-work-with-trump-as-tariff-threat-looms?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Xi Jinping Tells Joe Biden: China Is &#8216;Ready To Work With&#8217; Trump As Tariff Threat Looms</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
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Trump's Tariffs Could Have 'Severe Consequences' For US Defense Sector, Beijing Adviser Warns

After a sell-off on Thursday, Nov. 14 the street seems to be betting on the defense stocks again. This comes as the conflict in the Middle East escalates and geopolitical tensions ratchet the payoffs for the stocks in this sector.
What Happened: As defense stocks become lucrative with rising tension, David Wagner, portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors says that "this is more than just a geopolitical play.&#8221; He sees further upside in the defense and aerospace areas, despite current rich valuations, as per a <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-08/wall-street-sees-more-room-for-defense-stocks-torrid-advance?embedded-checkout=true">Bloomberg</a> report.
As per the<a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard"> Benzinga Pro</a> data, the S&amp;P 500 Aerospace &amp; Defense Industry Index has risen by 15.33% year-to-date, whereas Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) and iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (ACRA: ITA) have all outperformed the index at 17.26%, 39.09% and 20.09%, respectively in the same period.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="308" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--1024x308.png" alt="" class="wp-image-652786" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--1024x308.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--300x90.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--768x231.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks-.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
On a 15-year basis, Lockheed Martin has surged 603.08%, outperforming the iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF, which rose 521%. Another notable up move was seen in the shares of Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) which have zoomed by 2,806% since its listing in May 2015. During the same period, S&amp;P 500 has risen 436%, while S&amp;P 500 Aerospace &amp; Defense, which started in 2012, gained 321.57%. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-1024x576.png" alt="" class="wp-image-652789" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-1024x576.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-300x169.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-768x432.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-1536x864.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Why It Matters: Defense stocks, also known as haven assets, are comprised of two major sub-groups — defense and aerospace — offering investors a relatively diversified profile. While some analysts think geopolitics will tick the share prices higher, others argue their higher valuations.
Historically, defense spending runs in decades-long cycles. Investment in the sector experiences periods of growth followed by downturns, and we may be nearing the peak of the current cycle, according to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42013424/trumps-musk-ramaswamy-doge-plan-what-it-means-for-defense-and-it-stocks">Goldman Sachs</a> analyst Noah Poponak.
"The defense budget is at an all-time high, which creates difficult comparisons and challenging base effects," the analyst said in a note published Friday.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Risks For Defense Stocks As Per Goldman Sachs</h3>
<ol>
<li>Peak Spending: The defense budget is hovering at historical highs, making future growth difficult.</li>
<li>Geopolitical Shifts: If major conflicts ease, defense spending could decline.</li>
<li>Government Debt: U.S. debt-to-GDP ratios are near record levels, increasing pressure to curb federal spending.</li>
</ol>
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42013424/trumps-musk-ramaswamy-doge-plan-what-it-means-for-defense-and-it-stocks">Trump&#8217;s DOGE Plan: Goldman Sachs Says Defense Stocks Face Risks, IT Firms Could Win</a>
Speaking to Bloomberg about the fundamentals of the defense stocks, Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services said, "Valuations are rich for the group, so that may cap the upside. If the economy slows down more than expected or we see a short-term de-escalation in the Middle East that could also weigh on the group,&#8221; he added.
However, a few analysts like Cole Wilcox, portfolio manager at Longboard Asset Management said, &#8220;Unfortunately we are in a cycle of high and growing conflict around the world. This is driving increased demand for defense spending that is likely to persist for a very long time."
Read next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42029975/cathie-wood-redirects-elon-musks-doge-focus-toward-nuclear-energy-amid-regulatory-challenges-heres-how-oklo-cameco-centrus-energy-and-other-stocks-performed">Cathie Wood Redirects Elon Musk&#8217;s DOGE Focus Toward Nuclear Energy Amid Regulatory Challenges: Here&#8217;s How Oklo, Cameco, Centrus Energy And Other Stocks Performed</a>
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Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Defense ETFs Outperform S&P 500 Over The Last 15 Years — What's Driving The Growth? Analysts Decode

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-15_08h38_46.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Powell Speaks The Truth</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-powell-speech-trump-appointments-spy-mc-11152024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&amp;P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>It is worth a reminder that The Arora Report is politically agnostic.&nbsp; Our sole job is to help our members extract the maximum amount of money out of the markets with the least possible risk.</li>
<li>The price action on the chart shows that the rip roaring Trump rally is taking a breather.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the stock market is still above the breakout line.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that the stock market has pulled back, reflecting a loss of momentum. The stock market is still overbought.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the volume remains low.&nbsp; This indicates that institutional investors are not rushing to buy stocks.</li>
<li>Yesterday, Powell spoke that truth – the market did not like it.&nbsp; Powell said, "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates."&nbsp; Powell elaborated, "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully."</li>
<li>Powell's remarks brought some selling into stocks and bonds.</li>
<li>This morning, in the early trade, selling continues.</li>
<li>The reason for some selling is that the prevailing wisdom on Wall Street has been that another rate cut in December was a sure thing.&nbsp; The Arora Report has been questioning Wall Street's wisdom and sharing with you that the data does not support another rate cut.</li>
<li>Some conservative commentators are upset believing that the reason Powell started rate cuts with a 50 bps cut was to help Kamala Harris get elected.&nbsp; Now that Trump has been elected, Powell is in no hurry to cut rates.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, even though the data does not support a rate cut in December, Powell is going to feel pressure from Trump and Republicans to cut rates.&nbsp; There is also a significant amount of data between now and the December Fed meeting.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, based on a 360 degree view, including the political pressure and the pressure from Wall Street to cut rates, the probability of a rate cut in December is now about 60%.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>There is consternation about several Trump picks.&nbsp; Impacting the market most are Trump's picks of RKF Jr, Matt Gaetz, and Pete Hegseth.&nbsp; These picks are bringing selling in vaccine makers such as Moderna Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRNA#NASDAQ">MRNA</a>), BioNTech SE ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>), Novavax Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVAX#NASDAQ">NVAX</a>), Merck &amp; Co Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRK#NYSE">MRK</a>), and Pfizer Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PFE#NYSE">PFE</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in other healthcare stocks, including weight loss drug companies Eli Lilly And Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) and Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVO#NYSE">NVO</a>), and packaged food stocks such as The Kraft Heinz Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KHC#NASDAQ">KHC</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in defense stocks such as Boeing Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), and Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in big tech stocks.</li>
<li>The latest economic data is strong.&nbsp; The U.S. economy is about 70% consumer based.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to retail sales.&nbsp; Here are the details of the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Retail sales came at 0.4% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
<li>Retail sales ex-auto came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>There are hundreds of indicators.&nbsp; At The Arora Report, the system has been refined through decades of research to share with you only those indicators that matter.&nbsp; Normally, we do not mention the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index.&nbsp; Today, we are mentioning it due to its exceptional strength.&nbsp; The index came at 31.2 vs. 3.3 consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that manufacturing in the New York area has picked up steam. &nbsp; If similar strength is happening in the rest of the country, that would argue against further cutting interest rates. The problem for investors is that stock valuations are so high that to sustain them, rate cuts are needed.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Even the slightest dips in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) are being bought.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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Powell Speaks The Truth - Market Does Not Like It, Consternation About Kennedy, Gaetz, And Hegseth

President-elect Donald Trump's proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, is raising questions about the future of U.S. defense contractors <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41927289/trump-appoints-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-to-lead-doge-targeting-bureaucracy-and-65-trillion-federal-spending-we-will-not-go-gently">and government IT firms. </a>
Could the defense budget flatten—or even fall? And who stands to gain in this new sector shake up?
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">DOGE Puts Defense Budget Under Pressure</h3>
Trump's plan to restructure federal agencies and reduce wasteful spending through DOGE is a bold move, and its potential ripple effects are hard to ignore—especially for defense and government IT companies. 
With the Department of Defense (DoD) being one of the largest slices of federal spending, investors are understandably focused on what's next for defense stocks in a DOGE-driven world.
On one hand, Trump's campaign has consistently expressed support for strengthening the U.S. military. 
On the other, it's hard to make sweeping government cuts without touching the $877 billion defense budget, which accounts for 13% of federal spending as of 2023.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/41965420/department-of-government-efficiency-led-by-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-opens-x-account-with-username-doge">Elon Musk, Vivek Ramaswamy-Led Department Of Government Efficiency Opens Account On X</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Defense Spending At All-Time Highs Spells Risks</h3>
Historically, defense spending runs in decades-long cycles. Investment in the sector experiences periods of growth followed by downturns, and we may be nearing the peak of the current cycle, according to Goldman Sachs analyst Noah Poponak.
 &#8220;The defense budget is at an all-time high, which creates difficult comparisons and challenging base effects,&#8221; the analyst said in a note published Friday. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Risks For Defense Stocks</h3>
<ol>
<li>Peak Spending: The defense budget is hovering at historical highs, making future growth difficult.</li>
<li>Geopolitical Shifts: If major conflicts ease, defense spending could decline.</li>
<li>Government Debt: U.S. debt-to-GDP ratios are near record levels, increasing pressure to curb federal spending.</li>
</ol>
Margins in the defense industry are already under pressure due to Pentagon efforts to shift risks onto contractors. Fixed pricing on long-term contracts, for example, has eroded unit economics. 
At the same time, defense stocks – as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAR#NYSE">XAR</a>) – are trading at valuations above historical averages, leaving them vulnerable to a "de-rating" if the budget flattens or falls.
&#8220;It is difficult to embark on any large government spending reduction effort without touching defense, and there are potentially enough inefficiencies within the defense budget to reduce its total level without necessarily reducing military readiness or capability,&#8221; Poponak said. 
The investment bank maintains a cautious stance on the defense sector, issuing Sell ratings for Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), L3Harris Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>), and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HII#NYSE">HII</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Government IT: Winners In The Efficiency Game?</h3>
While defense hardware could take a hit, government IT firms might find themselves potentially on the winning side of DOGE. 
The sector has been outperforming traditional defense industries in revenue growth, driven by a market share shift toward advanced technologies like artificial intelligence, data analytics, and cybersecurity.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Why IT Could Shine:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Tech-Driven Efficiency: DOGE's focus on cutting waste could emphasize the adoption of technologies that streamline government operations.</li>
<li>Advanced Capabilities: Firms offering cutting-edge solutions may be seen as key enablers of government efficiency.</li>
<li>Resilient Demand: Even with DoD cuts, IT spending for Operations &amp; Maintenance and national security could remain strong.</li>
</ul>
Goldman Sachs believes that companies like Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAH#NYSE">BAH</a>) and Leidos Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LDOS#NYSE">LDOS</a>) are well-positioned to benefit.
On the flip side, SAIC Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAIC#NYSE">SAIC</a>) faces challenges due to slower growth and tougher competition, earning it a Sell rating from Goldman Sachs.
The bottom line is that Investors should prepare for a sector shakeup, as the creation of DOGE could mark a significant shift in federal spending priorities.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/42006982/activist-investor-nelson-peltz-says-he-was-a-matchmaker-for-elon-musk-with-donald-trump">Activist Investor Nelson Peltz Says He Was &#8216;A Matchmaker&#8217; For Elon Musk With Donald Trump</a></li>
</ul>
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LDOS

SAIC

Trump's DOGE Plan: Goldman Sachs Says Defense Stocks Face Risks, IT Firms Could Win

<a href="https://www.wsj.com/business/boeing-hires-northrop-executive-to-revamp-pentagon-projects-d64dab73?mod=latest_headlines">https://www.wsj.com/business/boeing-hires-northrop-executive-to-revamp-pentagon-projects-d64dab73?mod=latest_headlines</a>
<a href="https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/BA">Boeing</a> has poached an executive from defense rival <a href="https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/NOC">Northrop Grumman</a> to run its Phantom Works division, which oversees research efforts for its Pentagon business and is involved in bidding for U.S. government projects.
Colin Miler, a former Air Force commander who oversaw aeronautics engineering at Northrop, will take over the division, the jet maker told employees on Thursday. The Phantom Works division is also being combined into a single business unit. It currently is divided into separate organizations within Boeing's defense business.&nbsp;

Management

'Boeing Hires Northrop Executive To Revamp Pentagon Projects; Aerospace Giant Has Been Losing Billions On Military Contracts' - WSJ

Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) shares nudged up by 1.07% on Monday as reports emerged that Taiwan might be loading up on U.S. defense tech, with Lockheed's Aegis destroyer and F-35 fighter jets at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/LMT/news">the top of the list</a>. 
This potential <a href="https://www.tipranks.com/news/lockheed-martin-lmt-stock-rises-on-news-of-taiwan-defense-purchase">purchase</a> aligns with Taiwan&#8217;s move to show its defense commitment amid rising tensions with China, a sentiment that resonates with the U.S.'s call for allies to step up their defense investments.
Taiwan is also looking to buy Patriot missiles from RTX Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) and Northrop Grumman Corp's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) E-2D Advanced Hawkeye radar systems, underscoring its efforts to bolster self-defense.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41803738/invesco-launches-new-etfs-targeting-ai-cybersecurity-and-defense-heres-how-some-of-their-peers-have">Invesco Launches New ETFs Targeting AI, Cybersecurity, And Defense. Here&#8217;s How Some Of Their Peers Have Performed In The Past Year</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Lockheed Expands Horizons With New AI Defense Partnerships</h2>
Beyond traditional defense tech, Lockheed is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/41735903">diving into AI</a> with new partnerships alongside Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>). 
Meta recently committed to making its open-source Llama AI models available for defense uses, working with Lockheed and others to integrate AI into national security applications. 
This expansion hints at Lockheed's strategic shift toward high-tech defense solutions, aligning with modern security demands.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eye On Korea: Lockheed's Bid For CH-53K Choppers Deal</h2>
On the global front, Lockheed's Sikorsky unit is in the running for a multibillion-dollar <a href="https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2024/11/113_386184.html">contract </a>to supply heavy-lift CH-53K helicopters to South Korea, <a href="https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2024/11/113_386184.html">reported</a> TheKoreaTimes. 
This special ops chopper could find a new home in South Korea's military by 2031, though it's up against Boeing Co's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) CH-47F in a closely watched competition.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">LMT Stock Chart Signals For Bulls &amp; Bears</h2>
Despite the bullish news, the charts show a mixed outlook for LMT stock. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent111224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="627" height="452" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060829/Screenshot-2024-11-12-at-4.38.18-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-642499" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060829/Screenshot-2024-11-12-at-4.38.18-PM.png 627w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060829/Screenshot-2024-11-12-at-4.38.18-PM-300x216.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 627px) 100vw, 627px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent111224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
Trading at $570.58, LMT stock is above its eight, 20 and 200-day SMAs (simple moving averages), which signal strong support. 
However, the 50-day SMA, sitting at $578.05, shows slight selling pressure. 
The MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) reading of a negative 8.02 flags a potential downturn, while an RSI (relative strength index) of 51.57 signals a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold.
So, while Lockheed Martin has reason to celebrate with defense contracts and high-tech moves, investors might want to watch for potential pullbacks before jumping in.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41891026/palantir-overtakes-lockheed-martin-in-market-cap-how-does-the-messi-of-ai-stack-up-against-the-traditional-defense-player">Palantir Overtakes Lockheed Martin In Market Cap, How Does The &#8216;Messi Of AI&#8217; Stack Up Against The Traditional Defense Player</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Asia

Long Ideas

Technicals

Trading Ideas

Lockheed's Global Defense Expansion Drives Gains, While Technicals Hint At Pause

WIIM

Defense contractor companies are trading higher after the Pentagon granted permission to deploy in the Ukraine and repair US-supplied weaponry.

Macro Notification

Pentagon Lifts Ban On U.S. Defense Contractors In Ukraine To Repair US-Supplied Weaponry

<a href="https://www.semafor.com/article/11/07/2024/commercial-space-exploration-may-be-about-to-get-a-serious-boostv">https://www.semafor.com/article/11/07/2024/commercial-space-exploration-may-be-about-to-get-a-serious-boostv</a>
Among the industries set to gain most from the reelection of Donald Trump as US president, commercial space may be on the cusp of a new era of innovation.
In his first term, Trump made "<a href="https://spacepolicyonline.com/news/what-will-a-second-trump-term-mean-for-space-policy/">pretty dramatic</a>" space policy moves: He created the US Armed Forces' Space Force; he reestablished Space Command to take charge of military operations in space; and he helped kickstart NASA's program to return humans to the Moon.
&nbsp;
His second term could go further: One of Trump's biggest donors and supporters this cycle has been Elon Musk —&nbsp;his rocket company SpaceX already has multibillion-dollar contracts with NASA and other federal agencies, and could feasibly win far more over the next four years.
And, if Trump's <a href="https://www.semafor.com/newsletter/11/06/2024/semafor-tech-its-elon-musks-world">pledge to let Musk</a> cut costs out of the government comes to pass, Musk could erode some of the regulatory procedures that he argues are holding up SpaceX's development of a rocket to take humans and cargo to Mars.
Jeff Bezos' Blue Origin, one of SpaceX's top rivals for NASA contracts, could also stand to gain. Company executives reportedly met with Trump just before Bezos' paper The Washington Post <a href="https://www.semafor.com/article/10/27/2024/rivals-scramble-to-react-to-washington-post-endorsement-crisis">canceled a planned endorsement</a> of Kamala Harris. After Trump won, Bezos <a href="https://x.com/JeffBezos/status/1854184441511571765">congratulated</a> the Republican on his victory, while the head of Blue Origin hailed his reelection as "<a href="https://x.com/davill/status/1854187755267555432">exciting times for space exploration</a>."

Macro Economic Events

BlackSky Technology Inc. Class A Common Stock

BKSY

IRDM

MNTS

RKLB

SPCE

SPIR

'Private Space Exploration May Be About To Get A Serious Boost' - Semafor

Barclays analyst David Strauss maintains Northrop Grumman (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $500 to $550.

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Northrop Grumman, Raises Price Target to $550

U.S. Senator Jerry Moran Urges FAA To Speed Up Rocket Launch Licensing Process, 'Troubled' By 'Regulatory Inefficiency,'

UBS analyst Gavin Parsons maintains Northrop Grumman (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) with a Buy and raises the price target from $614 to $643.

UBS Maintains Buy on Northrop Grumman, Raises Price Target to $643

RBC Capital analyst Ken Herbert maintains Northrop Grumman (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) with a Sector Perform and raises the price target from $500 to $540.

RBC Capital Maintains Sector Perform on Northrop Grumman, Raises Price Target to $540

Susquehanna analyst Charles Minervino maintains Northrop Grumman (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) with a Positive and raises the price target from $560 to $625.

Susquehanna Maintains Positive on Northrop Grumman, Raises Price Target to $625

Wells Fargo analyst Matthew Akers maintains Northrop Grumman (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $509 to $565.

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Northrop Grumman, Raises Price Target to $565

Northrop Grumman shares are trading higher after the company reported better-than-expected Q3 EPS results and raised its FY24 adjusted EPS guidance outlook.

Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) reported third-quarter financial results before the open on Thursday. Here&#8217;s a look at the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/10/g41512327/northrop-grumman-releases-third-quarter-2024-financial-results">key highlights from the quarter</a>.
What Happened: Northrop Grumman reported third-quarter revenue of $9.996 billion, missing the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/earnings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">consensus estimate</a>&nbsp;of $10.181 billion, according to&nbsp;<a href="http://pro.benzinga.com" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>. The company reported quarterly earnings of $7 per share, beating analyst estimates of $6.08 per share.
Aeronautics Systems sales increased 4% year-over-year primarily due to higher F-35 production. Defense Systems sales increased 2% year-over-year primarily due to higher volume on the Sentinel program, ramp-up on the Stand-in Attack Weapon program and higher volume on certain military ammunition programs. Mission Systems revenue increased 7% year-over-year and Space Systems revenue grew 3%. 
Net awards in the third quarter totaled $11.7 billion. The company said it had a backlog of $84.8 billion at quarter&#8217;s end.
"Based on the strength of our year-to-date results and our positive outlook for the future, we are once again raising our 2024 guidance. Sales remain on target for 5% growth this year and the deliberate actions we are taking to improve margin rates have resulted in further expansion this quarter," said Kathy Warden, chair, president and CEO of Northrop Grumman.
"With our investments to create capacity and focus on performance, we continue to deliver value for our customers and our shareholders. As we look toward 2025, our outlook includes continued top line growth, margin rate expansion and greater than 20% free cash flow growth."
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41507795/boeing-machinists-reject-35-wage-hike-deal-extending-5-week-strike-amid-6b-loss-and-cash-burn-wa">Boeing Machinists Reject 35% Wage Hike Deal, Extending 5-Week Strike Amid $6B Loss And Cash Burn Warnings</a>
Northrop Grumman expects 2024 sales to be in the range of $41 billion to $41.4 billion versus estimates of $41.36 billion. The company raised its full-year earnings outlook from a range of $24.90 to $25.30 to a new range of $25.65 to $26.05, versus estimates of $25.20. Northrop anticipates full-year free cash flow of $2.25 billion to $2.65 billion.
Management will hold a conference call to discuss these results at 9 a.m. ET.
NOC Price Action: Northrop Grumman shares were up 1.19% at $522.55 at the time of publication Thursday morning, according to <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Photo: courtesy of Northrop Grumman.

Earnings

Movers

Northrop Grumman Reports Mixed Q3 Earnings: The Details

Investors could see some respite on Wall Street as the index futures point to a positive start on Thursday after three straight days of losses. EV giant Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) blew <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41509528/tesla-bull-gary-black-praises-ev-giants-clean-beat-in-q3-as-auto-margins-blow-past-">past expectations in terms of margins</a> and earnings per share (EPS), although it missed revenue expectations.
Dow Jones experienced its worst session in over a month, while megacap stocks like Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) and Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) fell by over 2%. Amid this, Nvidia supplier SK Hynix <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41509305/nvidia-supplier-sk-hynix-reports-record-breaking-quarterly-profit-as-ai-demand-drives-7-revenue-">reported a record quarterly profit </a>on the back of a boom in artificial intelligence.
Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) reported a loss in its third quarter, while AT&amp;T (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/T#NYSE">T</a>) posted better-than-expected earnings.
Tesla will be among the stocks in focus today. Dow Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOW#NYSE">DOW</a>), American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>), United Parcel Service Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UPS#NASDAQ">UPS</a>), Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HON#NASDAQ">HON</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), and Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) are scheduled to announce their earnings today.
Investors will also keep a close eye on Boeing <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41507795/boeing-machinists-reject-35-wage-hike-deal-extending-5-week-strike-amid-6b-loss-and-cash-burn-wa">after its machinists rejected a 35% wage hike deal</a> and extended their ongoing strike against the company. Workers were dissatisfied with the pension plan and wanted a bigger hike to deal with a rise in the cost of living.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>0.75%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>0.40%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.11%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>R2K</td>
<td>0.43%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In premarket trading on Thursday, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.42% to $580.42 and the Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) surged 0.77% to $492.14, according to <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Cues From Last Session:
Along with the Dow, the Nasdaq Composite recorded its third straight session in the red, dragged down by tech stocks.
Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a negative note, with consumer discretionary, information technology, and communication services stocks recording the biggest losses on Wednesday. However, real estate and utilities stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session higher.
Rising treasury yields and the possible outcome of the Nov. 5 presidential election results played on the minds of investors.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>-1.60%</td>
<td>18,276.65</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-0.92%</td>
<td>5,797.42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.96%</td>
<td>42,514.95</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>-0.79%</td>
<td>2,213.84</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts:
Following six consecutive weeks of gains, the markets have remained gloomy this week, with tech stocks offering some respite amid sideways movements in most other sectors.
Benchmark US 10-year treasury yields remain in focus, which rose to their highest mark since July.
On the economic data front, U.S. existing home sales declined 1% from the previous month to an annualized rate of 3.84 million in September.
The International Monetary Fund, though, <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024">expects</a> U.S. growth to remain strong. According to its latest World Economic Outlook report, the IMF revised its projected U.S. GDP growth rate to 2.8%, up from its previous projection of 2.6%.
"On the equity front, corporate earnings are strong and with the VIX (the CBOE&#8217;s volatility index) still elevated around 20, this is not the backdrop for the start of a bear market," explained WisdomTree and Wharton School economist Jeremy Siegel.
"The current under-loved bull market could see significant upside. While I&#8217;m not predicting a &#8216;melt-up,&#8217; it is important to acknowledge the market&#8217;s upward momentum could continue as fundamentals remain supportive,&#8221; Siegel added.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-futures-trading-software">Best Futures Trading Software</a>
Upcoming Economic Data:
<ul>
<li>Data on initial jobless claims is scheduled to be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack&nbsp;is scheduled to speak at 8:45 a.m. ET.</li>
<li>New home sales data is scheduled to be released at 10 a.m. ET.</li>
</ul>
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>Tesla will<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41510859/tesla-soars-in-thursday-pre-market-heres-whats-driving-the-surge"> stay in focus </a>after beating margin and EPS estimates in its third-quarter earnings.</li>
<li>IBM (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBM#NYSE">IBM</a>) missed third-quarter revenue estimates on account of a drag in consulting revenue.</li>
<li>AT&amp;T added over 403,000 new monthly subscribers in the third quarter, reporting $30.2 billion in revenue.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Bonds And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures rose in the early New York session, surging over 1.5% as data showed a rise in spot demand.
The 10-year Treasury note yield fell marginally to 4.192%.
Asian markets were mixed on Thursday, with Chinese markets edging lower while Japan's Nikkei 225 rose.
European stocks moved past tentativeness in early trading, surging after a gloomy week so far.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/10/41507397/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-sink-amid-stocks-decline-treasury-yields-climb-analyst-sees-prom">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Sink Amid Stocks Decline, Treasury Yields Climb: Analyst Sees &#8216;Promising Signs&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image generated using AI tools

Futures

Previews

Pre-Market Outlook

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Northrop Grumman Q3 backlog $85B

Guidance

Northrop Grumman Raises FY24 Adj EPS Outlook To $25.65-$26.05 ($24.90-$25.30  Prior) vs $25.20 Estimate; Affirms Sales Outlook Of $41.00B-$41.40B vs $41.36B Estimate

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Putin authorizes broader use of nuclear weapons in doctrine

The aerospace aftermarket sector is poised for substantial growth, driven by technological innovations and increased government investments. In this thriving landscape, TransDigm Group (TDG) stands out with its robust fundamentals, positioning the company to capitalize on the sector's expansion effectively. Read more to find out… The aerospace industry is soaring, fueled by cutting-edge innovations like artificial intelligence, advanced air mobility (AAM), and unmanned systems. With the Department of Defense <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3761026/dods-fy-2025-budget-focuses-on-defense-people-teamwork/">increasing its budget to $849.8 billion</a> for fiscal year 2025, the aerospace and defense sector remains poised for continued growth.
TransDigm Group Incorporated (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/TDG/">TDG</a>) stands at the forefront of this thriving industry, specializing in aerospace components. With a robust portfolio of proprietary products and a proven track record of profitability, TDG is well-positioned to benefit from the aerospace industry's tailwinds.
The company's impressive growth over the past year highlights its potential. The stock surged 9.1% in the past nine months and an impressive 30.6% over the last year, closing at $1,250.62 in the latest trading session. These gains reflect TDG's ability to capitalize on the sector's continued expansion.
So, let's take a closer look at the factors that could influence TDG's performance in the near future.
Recent Developments
On July 31, TDG <a href="https://transdigmgroupinc.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/transdigm-completes-acquisition-raptor-scientific">announced the successful completion</a> of its $655 million acquisition of Raptor Labs Holdco, LLC, a portfolio company of L Squared Capital Partners. Raptor Scientific, renowned for its advanced test and measurement solutions, serves primarily the aerospace and defense sectors.
The integration of Raptor Scientific can foster growth by expanding TDG's product offerings, creating new market opportunities, and boosting its competitive position within the growing aerospace aftermarket.
Earlier, on June 6, TDG completed <a href="https://transdigmgroupinc.gcs-web.com/news-releases/news-release-details/transdigm-completes-acquisition-electron-device-business">the $1.385 billion acquisition</a> of the Electron Device Business of Communications &amp; Power Industries. Known for its leadership in electronic components and subsystems, CPI's Electron Device Business is a significant player in the aerospace and defense market.
The acquisition could further amplify TDG's standing in the aerospace sector by adding essential electronic components and subsystems to its portfolio. These moves would significantly bolster TDG's market share and position the company for accelerated growth.
Strong Financials
For the fiscal fourth quarter that ended September 30, 2024, TDG's net sales increased 18% year-over-year to $2.19 billion. Its <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/g/grossprofit.asp">gross profit</a> rose 15.3% from the year-ago value to $1.26 billion.
Additionally, the company's adjusted net income and adjusted EPS grew 23.9% and 22.4% from the prior year's quarter to $570 million and $9.83, respectively. As of September 30, 2024, TDG's cash and cash equivalents amounted to $6.26 billion, compared to $3.47 billion on September 30, 2023.
Sound Historical Growth
Over the past three years, TDG's revenue has grown at a CAGR of 18.3%. Meanwhile, its EBITDA rose at a CAGR of 25.7%. Plus, the company's operation income (EBIT) and total assets increased at CAGRs of 28% and 9.8%, respectively.
Furthermore, during the same time frame, the company's net income and EPS grew at respective CAGRs of 36.1% and 35.1%. The sustained performance highlights the company's strong growth trajectory over the last few years.
Favorable Analyst Estimates
Analysts predict TDG's revenue and EPS for the fiscal 2025 first quarter (ending December 2024) to rise by 13.1% and 8.1% year-over-year, reaching $2.02 billion and $7.74, respectively. The company has consistently exceeded consensus revenue and EPS estimates in each of the four trailing quarters, which is noteworthy.
For the full fiscal year ending September 2025, TDG's revenue and EPS are expected to grow 12.1% and 10.5% from the previous year, reaching $8.90 billion and $37.55, respectively. The impressive growth reflects the company's strong performance and ongoing upward momentum.
Looking further ahead to the next fiscal year ending in September 2026, TDG is projected to see additional growth, with revenue and EPS forecasted to rise by 8.3% and 15.3%, reaching $9.64 billion and $43.30, respectively.
High Profitability
TDG's trailing-12-month gross profit margin of 58.84% is 84.2% higher than the industry average of 31.94%. Its trailing-12-month levered FCF margin stands at 73.77%, 987.1% higher than the industry average of 6.79%.
Additionally, TDG's trailing-12-month net income margin of 21.59% outperforms the industry average of 6.50% by 231.9%. Moreover, the company boasts a trailing-12-month EBITDA margin of 48.97%, which is 248.3% above the sector average of 14.06%.
POWR Ratings Reflects Optimism
TDG's fundamentals are reflected in its <a href="https://stocknews.com/powr-ratings/">POWR Ratings</a>. The POWR Ratings are calculated by taking into account 118 different factors, with each factor weighted to an optimal degree. Our proprietary rating system also evaluates each stock based on eight distinct categories.
TDG has a B grade for Quality, which is justified by its higher-than-average profitability metrics.
Within the <a href="https://stocknews.com/category/air-defense/">Air/Defense Services</a> industry, TDG is ranked #22 out of 71 stocks. Beyond what is stated above, we have also given TDG grades for Growth, Value, Momentum, Sentiment, and Stability. Get all TDG ratings <a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/TDG/">here</a>.
Bottom Line
TDG has solidified its role as a dominant force in the aerospace industry, driven by a robust portfolio of proprietary products. With a consistent track record of profitability, the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing aerospace aftermarket, further enhancing its competitive edge.
Given TDG's impressive financial performance and favorable growth prospects, it stands out. Plus, as profitability continues to rise, the company's strategic positioning in the aerospace sector could offer significant returns, making it an attractive buy for investors seeking growth potential.
How Does TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stack Up Against Its Peers?
Although TDG's near-term outlook appears sound, it may be worthwhile to explore its industry peers, who currently exhibit even stronger POWR Ratings. So, consider these three A (Strong Buy) or B-rated (Buy) stocks from the <a href="https://stocknews.com/category/air-defense/">Air/Defense Services</a> industry:
Northrop Grumman Corp. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/NOC/">NOC</a>)
Ducommun Incorporated (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/DCO/">DCO</a>)
Innovative Solutions and Support, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/ISSC/">ISSC</a>)
To explore more A or B-rated Air/Defense services stocks, <a href="https://stocknews.com/category/air-defense/">click here</a>.
What To Do Next?
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<hr />
TDG shares were unchanged in premarket trading Wednesday. Year-to-date, TDG has gained 23.63%, versus a 25.36% rise in the benchmark S&amp;P 500 index during the same period.
<hr><div style="clear:both;"></div> <h2>About the Author: Aanchal Sugandh</h2> <img src='https:/wp-content/uploads/2022/12/Aanchal-Sugandh_Headshot.jpg' style="float:left; padding:5px;width:125px;">Aanchal's passion for financial markets drives her work as an investment analyst and journalist. She earned her bachelor's degree in finance and is pursuing the CFA program.

She is proficient at assessing the long-term prospects of stocks with her fundamental analysis skills. Her goal is to help investors build portfolios with sustainable returns.<a href="https://stocknews.com/authors/?author=aanchal-sugandh">More...</a>The post <a href=https://stocknews.com/news/tdg-noc-dco-issc-transdigm-group-dominating-the-aerospace-aftermarket/>TransDigm Group: Dominating the Aerospace Aftermarket</a> appeared first on <a href=https://stocknews.com/>StockNews.com</a>

TransDigm Group: Dominating the Aerospace Aftermarket

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