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The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the Index (the Portfolio), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the Index. In this prospectus, the term Portfolio Securities refers to the common stocks that are actually held by the Trust and make up the Trusts Portfolio, while the term Index Securities refers to the common stocks that are included in the Index, as determined by the index provider, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC (S&P). At any time, the Portfolio will consist of as many of the Index Securities as is practicable. To maintain the correspondence between the composition and weightings of Portfolio Securities and Index Securities, State Street Global Advisors Trust Company (the Trustee), or its parent company, State Street Bank and Trust Company (SSBT), adjusts the Portfolio from time to time to conform to periodic changes made by S&P to the identity and/or relative weightings of Index Securities in the Index. The Trustee or SSBT aggregates certain of these adjustments and makes changes to the Portfolio at least monthly, or more frequently in the case of significant changes to the Index.

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&#8216;Black Swan&#8217; author Nassim Nicholas Taleb has said that the Treasury Secretary, Scott Bessent, has the worst job in the world today because he understands the relevancy and implications of tariffs more than anyone else.
What Happened: According to his X post, Taleb has pointed out that the Treasury Secretary, Bessent, comprehends the relevance of the protectionist policies being imposed by the current administration, led by President Donald Trump.
Additionally, he says that any abrupt introduction of steep tariffs could lead to a cascading and generalised price action.
In general, trade barriers like import quotas or tariffs have both advantages and disadvantages. From a Keynesian perspective, tariffs can boost domestic production and employment by shifting demand towards domestically produced goods, potentially leading to a reduction in the trade deficit.
However, it could be driven by political opportunism, undermine free trade principles, fuel the prices of domestic goods, reduce domestic consumption, and damage international relations.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The worst job in the world today is that of Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary. He probably gets that whether tarifs make or don&#39;t make sense is irrelevant: any ABRUPT introduction of steep tariffs must lead to a CASCADING &amp; GENERALIZED price action. 1/n
&mdash; Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) <a href="https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1906318528652706184?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 30, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
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See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44554923/goldman-sachs-warns-us-stocks-are-at-risk-of-further-declines-but-policy-pivot-from-trump-or-fed-could-stoke-recovery">Goldman Sachs Warns US Stocks &#8216;Are At Risk Of Further Declines,&#8217; But Policy Pivot From Trump Or Fed Could Stoke Recovery</a>
Why It Matters: Bessent recently outlined Trump‘s economic plan during the latest All-In Podcast episode on March 19.
He highlighted the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44396136/treasury-secretary-scott-bessent-calls-himself-a-deficit-hawk-but-has-to-coax-gop-against-aggressive-cuts-says-he-is-completely-aligned-with-elon-musk-on-doge">three steps in the administration's plans</a>.
<ul>
<li>First, to shrink government spending and its workforce;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Second, to loosen financial regulations, which Bessent called a &#8220;regulatory corset.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Third, to get the private sector to hire back those who lost their government jobs.</li>
</ul>
Bessent also expressed alignment with Elon Musk&#8216;s Department of Government Efficiency or DOGE, which aims to reduce wasteful spending. &#8220;With Doge, I am completely aligned with what Elon's doing,&#8221; he stated.
However, he acknowledged the challenge of implementing changes rapidly. He also warned, &#8220;If you don't move fast the vested interest will weigh you down.&#8221; &nbsp;
Price Action: The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, declined on Friday. The SPY was down 2.01% to $555.66, while the QQQ declined 2.63% to $468.94, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
On Monday, the futures of Dow Jones fell by 0.37%, whereas the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.66% and 1.13%, respectively.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44550145/federal-reserve-is-gaslighting-the-public-warns-expert-as-richmond-fed-president-says-inflation-expe" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Federal Reserve Is ‘Gaslighting The Public,' Warns Expert As Richmond Fed President Says ‘Inflation Expectations Have Loosened, Not De-Anchored'</a></li>
</ul>
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Futures

Scott Bessent Has 'Worst Job In The World Today,' Says Black Swan Author Nassim Taleb, As Treasury Secretary Knows The Implications Of Steep Tariffs

Goldman Sachs Research has said in their recent note that the S&amp;P 500 might be vulnerable to deeper declines, however, analyst says a &#8220;major policy pivot&#8221; by the Donald Trump-led administration or the central bank could help the markets recover.
What Happened: Goldman Sachs&#8217; Christian Mueller-Glissmann, leading asset allocation research, has warned that the risk of further market correction is still looming in the U.S. He cautioned that the deteriorating macro backdrop leaves the market vulnerable to further correction, even without a predicted recession.
"The equity drawdown probability hasn't peaked yet," he said. The note added, &#8220;Our strategists' equity drawdown risk model, which forecasts the probability of the S&amp;P 500 falling, suggests U.S. stocks are at risk of further declines.&#8221;
The reasons why Goldman Sachs Research believes that the market correction has more legs include:
<ul>
<li>Its model&#8217;s prediction signaling an elevated risk since January, which hasn&#8217;t indicated a peak in the probability of further declines.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>A deteriorating macroeconomic environment, along with the drawdown in equity, suggests that a market bottom hasn&#8217;t been reached.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The risk appetite indicator, which gauges investor sentiment, is not yet at the &#8216;-2&#8217; level, which historically signals a potential market reversal without policy or economic changes. This indicator is still above the point that would indicate a strong buying opportunity.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The Magnificent Seven tech stocks, which are crucial drivers of retail investor confidence, have seen significant declines, and a further fall in these stocks could damage investor sentiment.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>European and Chinese equities, which are outperforming the U.S., tend to historically outrun the U.S. initially, but eventually follow the trend during larger corrections. Therefore, if the U.S. correction deepens, it could drag down global markets.</li>
</ul>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44550145/federal-reserve-is-gaslighting-the-public-warns-expert-as-richmond-fed-president-says-inflation-expe">Federal Reserve Is &#8216;Gaslighting The Public,&#8217; Warns Expert As Richmond Fed President Says &#8216;Inflation Expectations Have Loosened, Not De-Anchored&#8217;</a>
Why It Matters: Mueller-Glissmann acknowledges a key limitation of his equity drawdown model: it doesn&#8217;t account for policy changes.
&#8220;So if there's a major policy pivot from President Trump or the Federal Reserve, of course, markets could recover much faster,&#8221; he said.
Despite market volatility, he notes that the classic 60/40 portfolio, with its 60% equity and 40% bond allocation, has remained resilient this year. "Equities are down in the U.S., but bonds have rallied in the year to date. And in Europe, bonds are down, but equities have rallied," adds Mueller-Glissmann.
Thus, the diversification achieved by holding both stocks and bonds across these regions successfully maintained portfolio returns despite the year&#8217;s initial volatility.
Apart from this, Goldman Sachs has increased its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44554304/goldman-sachs-raises-us-recession-risk-to-35-expects-inflation-at-3-5-in-2025-amid-tariff-uncertainties-economist-mohamed-el-erian-highlights-stagflationary-twist">U.S. recession probability</a> from 20% to 35%, as of March 30.
Price Action: The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which track the S&amp;P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, declined on Friday. The SPY was down 2.01% to $555.66, while the QQQ declined 2.63% to $468.94, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pr</a>o data.
On Monday, the futures of Dow Jones fell by 0.35%, whereas the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.62% and 1.10%, respectively.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/futures/25/03/44534664/bearish-sentiment-mirrors-35-year-old-pattern-hovering-over-50-for-5-weeks-expert-cites-incredible-buying-opportunities-from-past">Bearish Sentiment Mirrors 35-Year-Old Pattern, Hovering Over 50% For 5 Weeks: Expert Cites &#8216;Incredible Buying Opportunities&#8217; From Past</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Goldman Sachs Warns US Stocks 'Are At Risk Of Further Declines,' But Policy Pivot From Trump Or Fed Could Stoke Recovery

Lawrence McDonald, founder of Bear Traps Report, warned on Sunday that President Donald Trump&#8216;s planned tariffs could have a more significant inflationary impact during his second term compared to his first administration.
What Happened: During Trump&#8217;s first term, tariffs and inflation came after a prolonged period of global austerity, secular stagnation, and Brexit's impact, McDonald wrote on X. In a second term, they would follow a $16 trillion fiscal and &#8220;monetary overdosing.&#8221;
McDonald&#8217;s comments come as markets brace for Trump&#8217;s Apr. 2 &#8220;Liberation Day&#8221; tariff announcements, with stock futures declining Sunday night. 
McDonald&#8217;s analysis contrasts with Council of Economic Advisers Chair Stephen Miran, who previously argued tariffs during Trump&#8217;s first term didn&#8217;t cause inflation due to &#8220;currency offset&#8221; as <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44469320/sp-500-dollar-index-decline-together-for-1st-time-since-2008-financial-crisis">the dollar strengthened</a>.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Tariffs and inflation during Trump&#39;s first term &#8211; were after a long period of &#8211; a) global austerity, b) secular stagnation and c) Brexit&#39;s impact on the global economy. Tariffs and Inflation during Trump&#39;s 2nd term &#8211; after a $16T fiscal and monetary overdosing. <a href="https://t.co/AVcO0AWHBQ">https://t.co/AVcO0AWHBQ</a>
&mdash; Lawrence McDonald (@Convertbond) <a href="https://twitter.com/Convertbond/status/1906299433513292051?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 30, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
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Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has raised its U.S. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44554304/goldman-sachs-raises-us-recession-risk-to-35-expects-inflation-at-3-5-in-2025-amid-tariff-uncertainties-economist-mohamed-el-erian-highlights-stagflationary-twist">recession probability from 20% to 35%</a>, as highlighted by Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian. The investment bank also revised its 2025 personal consumption expenditures inflation forecast upward to 3.5% while projecting GDP growth to slow to 1.0% quarter-over-quarter, giving its outlook what El-Erian called a &#8220;stagflationary twist.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44554536/cathie-wood-applauds-after-nvidia-exec-says-hes-very-bullish-on-mimik-the-edge-ai-company-she-backs-and-serves-as-board-member">Nvidia Executive&#8217;s &#8216;Very Bullish&#8217; Edge AI Company Mimik, Cathie Wood Notes &#8216;High Praise&#8217; For The Company She Backs</a>
This economic <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44554008/wall-street-on-edge-futures-slide-ahead-of-trumps-liberation-day-tariff-shock">uncertainty has rattled markets</a>, with major indices poised to end March sharply lower. The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) is down 6.27%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) has dropped 5.15%, and Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) has tumbled 8.09%.
PIMCO Managing Director Tiffany Wilding <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44487750/us-recession-risk-pegged-at-30-35-by-pimco-but-stagflation-not-a-major-concern-says-chief">maintains a similar recession outlook</a> to Goldman Sachs at 30-35%, though she expects any recession would be &#8220;light&#8221; with a relatively quick recovery.
Investors now face a pivotal week with <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44554304/goldman-sachs-raises-us-recession-risk-to-35-expects-inflation-at-3-5-in-2025-amid-tariff-uncertainties-economist-mohamed-el-erian-highlights-stagflationary-twist">key economic reports</a> including employment data, JOLTS, ISM&#8217;s business activity index, and retail sales figures—all while awaiting Trump&#8217;s tariff announcement and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell&#8216;s upcoming remarks.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44554189/openai-and-microsoft-back-mcp-standard-in-major-shift-toward-interoperable-ai-agents-that-can-think-click-and-navigate-the-web-but-google-ceo-sundar-pichai-appears-to-be-mulling-over-it-in-shakespearean-fashion-to-mcp-or-not-to-mcp">OpenAI And Microsoft Back MCP Standard For Web-Surfing AI Agents; Google&#8217;s Sundar Pichai Asks A Shakespearean Question</a></li>
</ul>
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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariffs Could Fuel Inflation After $16 Trillion Fiscal Surge, Lawrence McDonald Warns

Allianz Chief Economic Advisor Mohamed El-Erian highlighted a significant shift in Goldman Sachs&#8216; outlook for the U.S. economy, noting that the investment bank has given its economic projections a &#8220;stagflationary twist.&#8221;
What Happened: El-Erian noted on X that Goldman Sachs economists have added a &#8220;stagflationary twist&#8221; to their U.S. economic outlook. 
He highlighted that the firm raised its 2025 personal consumption expenditures inflation forecast— the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge— by 0.5 percentage points to 3.5%, while projecting gross domestic product growth to slow to 1.0% on a quarter-over-quarter basis.
Goldman Sachs has increased its U.S. recession probability from 20% to 35%, El-Erian notes, an increase of 75%.
This revised outlook comes amid broader economic concerns. S&amp;P 500, tracked by The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and the U.S. Dollar Index, has declined simultaneously, a pattern not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, signaling <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44469320/sp-500-dollar-index-decline-together-for-1st-time-since-2008-financial-crisis">potential economic instability</a>.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">In a move likely to be followed by other forecasters, economists at <a href="https://twitter.com/GoldmanSachs?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@GoldmanSachs</a> just gave a stagflationary twist to their US economic forecasts. 2005 PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve&#39;s favorite inflation measure, was revised up by 0.5 percentage points to 3.5%, while growth…
&mdash; Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) <a href="https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1906466125896200393?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 30, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44553913/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-sink-as-investors-trim-risk-appetite-ahead-of-trumps-liberation-day-analyst-says-seasoned-participants-have-shifted-from-selling-to-hodling">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Sink As Risk Appetite Shrinks Ahead Of Trump&#8217;s &#8216;Liberation Day:&#8217; Analyst Says Seasoned Participants Have Shifted From Selling To HODLing</a>
Why It Matters: Market sentiment remains cautious with futures declining Sunday night as investors brace for President Donald Trump&#8216;s anticipated &#8220;Liberation Day&#8221; tariff <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44554008/wall-street-on-edge-futures-slide-ahead-of-trumps-liberation-day-tariff-shock">announcements scheduled for Apr. 2</a>. 
The major indices are poised to end March with sharp declines, with SPY down 6.27%, SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) dropping 5.15%, and Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) tumbling 8.09%.
While Goldman Sachs has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44487750/us-recession-risk-pegged-at-30-35-by-pimco-but-stagflation-not-a-major-concern-says-chief">increased its recession forecast</a>, PIMCO maintains a similar view, with Managing Director Tiffany Wilding stating that they see a 30-35% chance of recession. However, Wilding added they expect any recession would be &#8220;light&#8221; and the economy would &#8220;come out of it relatively quickly.&#8221;
El-Erian noted that this week will be packed with key economic reports, including the monthly employment data, the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, the Institute for Supply Management&#8217;s business activity index, and retail sales figures. 
Additionally, markets will be watching the Apr. 2 tariff announcement and remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other officials.
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<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The US leads a busy week &quot;look ahead&quot; for the global economy and markets with a string of data releases &#8212; including the monthly jobs reports, JOLTS, ISM, and retail sales &#8212; the April 2nd tariff announcement, and remarks by Chair Powell and other Federal Reserve officials. We…
&mdash; Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) <a href="https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1906464018610401657?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 30, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44553924/tesla-bull-and-grok-investor-pierre-ferragu-predicts-113-billion-merger-of-elon-musks-ai-startup-xai-and-his-social-media-company-x-will-look-tiny-in-a-few-years">Tesla Bull Pierre Ferragu Predicts $113 Combined Market Cap Of Elon Musk&#8217;s AI Startup xAI And X Will Look &#8216;Tiny&#8217; In Few Years: &#8216;So Much Potential&#8217;</a></li>
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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Risk To 35%, Expects Inflation At 3.5% In 2025 Amid Tariff Uncertainties: Economist Mohamed El-Erian Highlights 'Stagflationary Twist'

U.S. stock futures declined Sunday night as investors braced for a potentially volatile week ahead of President Donald Trump&#8216;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/03/44552465/trump-unfazed-by-potential-auto-price-hikes-amid-new-tariffs-i-couldnt-care-less">anticipated &#8220;Liberation Day&#8221; tariff announcements</a>.
What Happened: Dow Jones futures fell 200 points to 41,651.00, S&amp;P 500 futures dropped 35 points to 5,588.00, and Nasdaq 100 futures tumbled 216 points to 19,241.00, signaling continued pressure on markets that have struggled throughout March.
The major indices are poised to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44542620/inflation-fears-spark-risk-off-sentiment-as-magnificent-7-drop-whats-driving-markets-friday">end the month with sharp declines</a>, as the S&amp;P 500, tracked by SPDR S&amp;P 500 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), is down 6.27%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, tracked by SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>), has dropped 5.15%, and the Nasdaq Composite, tracked by Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), has tumbled 8.09%.
Global markets also reflected investor anxiety, with Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 plummeting 1,203.93 points to 35,916.40 on Monday at 10:25 am local time.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/03/44549998/cathie-wood-sees-small-business-recovery-ahead-tom-lee-predicts-extremely-high-odds-of-a-v-shaped-ma">Cathie Wood Sees Small Business Recovery Ahead, Tom Lee Predicts &#8216;Extremely High&#8217; Odds Of A V-Shaped Market Rebound</a>
Why It Matters: Trump is set to announce new &#8220;reciprocal&#8221; tariffs on April 2, dubbed &#8220;Liberation Day,&#8221; aimed at countries <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/25/03/44502030/trump-may-slap-a-20-tariff-on-europe-yet-april-still-offers-rally-hopes-for-european-stocks">imposing trade barriers and duties</a>.
The tariff concerns compound existing trade tensions following Trump&#8217;s Mar. 26 announcement of <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44546899/trumps-25-auto-tariffs-rattle-wall-street-feds-favorite-inflation-gauge-surges-consumer-price-worries-rocket-this-week-in-markets">25% auto tariffs</a> scheduled to take effect Apr. 3. Additionally, the one-month suspension of 25% tariffs on numerous Canadian and Mexican goods is set to expire in early April.
Market participants will also digest critical economic data this week, highlighted by the March jobs report scheduled for release Friday morning at 8:30 a.m. ET, which could provide insights into the health of the U.S. economy amid mounting trade pressures.
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Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Wall Street On Edge: Futures Slide Ahead of Trump's 'Liberation Day' Tariff Shock

Wall Street stumbled Friday as investors hustled to reevaluate their expectations with a hotter-than-anticipated inflation report and growing worries about imminent trade tariffs. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">ETFs tracking the broad indexes</a> S&amp;P500 and Nasdaq 100, like SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), The iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>) and the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), suffered losses as traders processed the most recent inflation reading and an alarming consumer sentiment report.
Inflation Halts Advancements Toward Rate Reduction
The Fed&#8217;s favored measure of inflation, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price gauge, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44535109/feds-favorite-inflation-gauge-rises-more-than-expected-in-february-casting-doubt-on-near-term-rate-cuts">rose 2.5% from the prior year, as expected</a>. Yet the core PCE that is watched most closely, adjusting for fidgety food and energy prices, gained 2.8%, beating expectations of 2.7% and its hottest level in more than a year.
LPL Financial chief economist Jeffrey Roach added that the increase in the core PCE print highlights <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44542821/inflation-will-accelerate-in-coming-months-if-april-2-tariffs-take-effect-economist-warns">lingering inflationary pressure</a>. He cited the rising savings rate, which hit 4.6%, as a sign that consumers are increasingly conservative about the outlook of the economy.
Comerica Bank&#8217;s chief economist, Bill Adams, seconded these fears, calling for a deceleration in consumer spending to weigh on real GDP growth in the first quarter of 2025. 
Also Read:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44545009/big-moves-at-intelthese-3-etfs-stand-to-benefit"> Big Moves At Intel: These 3 ETFs Stand To Benefit</a>
Market Sell-Off: SPY, IVV And QQQ Take The Brunt
The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">latest inflation figures</a> fueled a widespread sell-off on Wall Street on Friday, as all three major indexes lost heavily. S&amp;P 500 lost 2%, with the Nasdaq 100 losing 2.6%. Consequently, the SPY, an ETF that follows the S&amp;P 500, lost 2%, with QQQ, which follows the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, losing 2.6% on Friday. IVV, another major ETF tracking the S&amp;P 500, also slumped 2%.
Tech stocks were hammered, with all of the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44542620/inflation-fears-spark-risk-off-sentiment-as-magnificent-7-drop-whats-driving-markets-friday">Magnificent Seven trading in the red</a>. Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) led the decline, dropping 4.3% and 4.9%, respectively. Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), one of the highest holdings in SPY, wiped out its previous day&#8217;s gain, falling 3.4%.
Outlook: Volatility On The Horizon For SPY And QQQ
As inflation remained stickier than expected and the Federal Reserve increasingly under pressure to maintain higher rates, volatility in SPY and QQQ can be expected to continue. The slowdown in consumer spending, coupled with higher inflation and trade uncertainties, has created a vulnerable setup for the equity markets.
Though steady real disposable income growth could be a short-term buffer, as analyst Roach cautioned, any deceleration in pay growth would present an even bigger threat to the overall economy. Investors now look to the Federal Reserve&#8217;s next steps and the next steps in tariffs for more guidance in this uncharted economic climate.
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Photo: Shutterstock

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The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/magnificent-seven">Magnificent 7 stocks</a> are among those having a rough start to 2025 with all seven leading technology stocks down and the majority underperforming against the S&amp;P 500.
Benzinga readers picked their favorite Mag 7 stock to outperform the others over the next three months.
What Happened: Concerns over tariffs and macroeconomic issues have put a damper on the stock market and sent the prices of many leading stocks and indexes down in the first<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/03/44149681/magnificent-seven-leadership-questioned-mags-etf-stumbles-ai-trade-losing-steam"> three months of the year.</a>
While many of the Magnificent 7 stocks have outperformed the S&amp;P 500 over the last five years, they could struggle to maintain that outperformance over the next year if current trends continue.
Here's a look at how Benzinga readers feel about the key seven technology stocks right now.
"The Magnificent 7 stocks have recently rebounded. Which one do you believe will outperform the others over the next 3 months?" Benzinga asked.
Here are the results:
<ul>
<li>Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>): 23%</li>
<li>NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>): 19%</li>
<li>Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>): 18%</li>
<li>Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>): 13%</li>
<li>Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>): 12%</li>
<li>Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>)(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>): 11%</li>
<li>Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>): 5%</li>
</ul>
The poll found Amazon to be the winner predicted to outperform the other Mag 7 stocks over the next three months. Nvidia ranked second in the poll, narrowly beating Tesla.
Amazon may be the winner given its role in the retail sector and being less impacted by tariff and macroeconomic concerns as shoppers look for value and convenience.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/02/44057422/bitcoin-magnificent-7-lose-safe-haven-status-in-2025-as-china-etfs-dow-stocks-outperform">Bitcoin, Magnificent 7 Lose Safe-Haven Status In 2025 As China ETFs, Dow Stocks Outperform</a>
Why It's Important: Here are the current year-to-date and one-year performances of the Mag 7 stocks:
<ul>
<li>Amazon: -11.6% year-to-date, +7.9% one-year</li>
<li>Nvidia: -20.6% year-to-date, +21.7% one-year</li>
<li>Tesla: -29.7% year-to-date, +51.7% one-year</li>
<li>Meta: -2.3% year-to-date, +20.6% one-year</li>
<li>Apple: -9.9% year-to-date, +28.2% one-year</li>
<li>Alphabet: -17.2% year-to-date, +4.0% one-year</li>
<li>Microsoft: -8.7% year-to-date, -9.2% one-year</li>
</ul>
The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAGS#BATS">MAGS</a>), which tracks the seven stocks, is down 14.1% year-to-date and is up 18.8% over the last year.
For comparison, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500, is down 4.4% year-to-date in 2025 and up 6.8% over the last year.
Meta is currently the only Mag 7 stock outperforming the SPY year-to-date in 2025. Amazon trails the S&amp;P 500 year-to-date in 2025 and is slightly higher over the last year.
For comparison, a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/11/42121665/could-another-magnificent-7-stock-beat-nvidia-in-2025-poll-says-not-likely-27-pick-this-potential-winner">November Benzinga reader poll</a> asked if any Mag 7 stock would outperform Nvidia in 2025. Here were those results:
<ul>
<li>None – Nvidia will dominate: 48%</li>
<li>Tesla: 27%</li>
<li>Amazon: 8%</li>
<li>Meta: 7%</li>
<li>Alphabet: 6%</li>
<li>Microsoft: 3%</li>
<li>Apple: 2%</li>
</ul>
The poll found the near-majority predicting Nvidia will have the strongest growth in 2025 and dominate the Magnificent 7 stocks once again.
Coming in second place, and the stock that could have the best chance to pass Nvidia according to readers, was Tesla at 27%.
Amazon ranked third in that poll, which could show that sentiment has shifted away from Nvidia and Tesla being the top Mag 7 stocks and instead investors are looking to Amazon as the leader for 2025.
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</ul>
The study was conducted by Benzinga from March 25, 2025 through March 28, 2025. It included the responses of a diverse population of adults 18 or older. Opting into the survey was completely voluntary, with no incentives offered to potential respondents. The study reflects results from 104 adults.
Photo gguy via Shutterstock

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EXCLUSIVE: Which Magnificent 7 Stock Will Perform Best In The Next 3 Months? New Poll Shows A Favorite (And It's Not Nvidia)

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Fed's Daly Says She Is 100% Focused On Inflation, Progress Has Been Flat; Friday's Inflation Data Confirms Her Own Decreased Confidence In Her Modal Outlook; Stagflation A Tail Risk, Can't Rule Out But Not Hearing About It From Contacts

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The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation came in hotter than expected on Friday. Experts are weighing in on how the latest data could affect<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44535109/feds-favorite-inflation-gauge-rises-more-than-expected-in-february-casting-doubt-on-near-term-rate-cuts"> the road ahead.&nbsp;</a>
The Details: The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.5% year-over-year, matching January's reading and economist forecasts of 2.5%. On a monthly basis, headline PCE rose 0.3%, in line with estimates.
However, core PCE climbed 2.8% from a year ago, up slightly from January&#8217;s 2.7% and above economists' expectations of 2.7%.&nbsp;
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Bill Adams, chief economist for Comerica Bank, said that February's spending data confirms a slowdown in consumer activity in the first quarter of 2025 and predicted that real GDP will be slower in the quarter as well.&nbsp;
The Federal Reserve is in a tight spot with interest rates as the economy appears to be slowing and inflation is likely to pick back up in 2025.&nbsp;
"If tariffs rise on April 2 as pledged, inflation will accelerate in coming months," Adams said.&nbsp;
Joseph Brusuelas, chief economist for RSM, said that "inflation improvement has stalled out" and warned about tariffs and trade policies affecting the economic data ahead.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">February PCE Price Index: inflation improvement has stalled out. The notion of stubborn and sticky inflation is the primary narrative here in advance of the greater trade shock that will show up in the hard data in coming months. The second round effects are going to be key here…
&mdash; Joseph Brusuelas (@joebrusuelas) <a href="https://twitter.com/joebrusuelas/status/1905600139957277044?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 28, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Jeffrey Roach, chief economist for LPL Financial, highlighted February's core PCE index as the hottest print in more than a year and said the savings rate rose to 4.6%, as consumers grow more cautious about the future.
Roach sees income growth as supporting the economy for now, but sees trouble ahead if income growth slows.&nbsp;
"Stable real disposable income growth will likely provide a buffer for the economy nervous about a trade war and sticky inflation. But if income growth falters, the economy will be at greater risk," he said.&nbsp;
Markets React: All three major indexes were down sharply in midday trading Friday as markets digest the PCE data and worse-than-expected consumer <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44537936/consumer-inflation-expectations-skyrocket-in-march-hit-highest-levels-in-32-years">sentiment survey</a> released earlier in the day.&nbsp;President Donald Trump&#8217;s tariffs continue to roil markets with more expected next week. 
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), tracking the S&amp;P 500, was down 1.9% and the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), tracking the Nasdaq 100 index, was down 2.6% at the time of publication Friday.  
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Image: Shutterstock

'Inflation Will Accelerate In Coming Months' If April 2 Tariffs Take Effect, Economist Warns

Markets faltered on Friday, with Wall Street reeling as investors hurried to shed risk in the face of mounting <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44537936/consumer-inflation-expectations-skyrocket-in-march-hit-highest-levels-in-32-years">inflation and tariff uncertainties.</a>
The S&amp;P 500 fell 2.1% by 1:30 p.m. trading in New York, on track to end the week with losses. The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 tumbled 2.6%, and the Dow fell 1.7%. 
All members of the Magnificent Seven group were in the red, with Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>) marking the widest drops, both down 4.4%.
Earlier on Friday, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge – the core Personal Consumption Expenditure price index – rose 2.8% on a yearly basis in February, surprising estimates of 2.7%. 
Investor anxiety deepened following the latest University of Michigan Survey of Consumers, which showed 5-year forward inflation expectations jumping to 4.1% — a 0.2-point increase from prior estimates and the highest reading since February 1993. As stocks fell in unison, a flight to safety ensued, sending gold up 1% to a record-breaking $3,090 per ounce. Treasury bonds also rallied, with yields declining across all maturities. 
Price action in commodities was mixed with oil down 1% and natural gas up 2.4%. Sentiment in crypto also took a sharp hit, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) down by 4% to below $84,000, flipping to weekly losses.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday's Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Chg %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>41,597.02</td>
<td>-1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,574.84</td>
<td>-2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,016.62</td>
<td>-2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,283.98</td>
<td>-2.6%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:20 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)&nbsp;fell 2.1% to $555.41.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;eased 1.8% to $415.31.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;dropped 2.7% to $468.61.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>)&nbsp;fell 2.5% to $199.57</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Utilities&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) outperformed, up 0.9%; the&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>)&nbsp;lagged, down 3.2%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Shares of Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>) sunk 15% in reaction to the company&#8217;s earnings report. </li>
<li>Michigan-based automakers extended losses as investors asses the impact from tariffs. General Motors Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) fell 2% following a nearly 6% drop on Thursday. Ford Motor. Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>) fell 2.7% after a 3.9% drop a day earlier.</li>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) erased Thursday&#8217;s gains and fell 3.5%. </li>
<li>Crypto-related stocks plummeted, with Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) down nearly 10%. Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) fell over 7%, heading for the lowest close since mid-October 2024. </li>
</ul>
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44541993/kinder-morgan-set-for-q1-growth-amid-rising-lng-demand-says-analyst">Goldman Sachs Forecasts High Gas Prices And LNG Demand Drive Kinder Morgan&#8217;s Revenue</a></li>
</ul>
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