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Goldman Sachs Gr

Goldman Sachs is a leading global investment banking and asset management firm. Approximately 14% of its revenue comes from investment banking, 42% from trading, 20% from asset & wealth management, 15% from net interest income, and 9% from other principal transactions. Around 64% of the company's net revenue is generated in the Americas, 13% in Asia, and 23% in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

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Il leggendario investitore Warren Buffett ha definito le tariffe come &#34;un atto di guerra&#34; che funziona come una tassa sui consumatori, mentre i mercati sono alle prese con la recente implementazione da parte del presidente Donald Trump di dazi del 25% sulle importazioni canadesi e messicane.

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Goldman Sachs ETF Trust Goldman Sachs Small Cap Core Equity ETF

Ioneer Ltd

GS Chain PLC

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GOLDSANDS DEV CO by Goldsands Development Co.

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Global Systems Dynamics Inc Class A

GSDT FINTECH GROUP INC by GSDT Fintech Group Inc.

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Global Systems Dynamics Inc Units (1 Ord Class A & 1/2 War)

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Goldman Sachs MarketBeta Emerging Markets Equity ETF

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FT Vest U.S. Equity Moderate Buffer ETF - September

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GREEN STREAM HOLDINGS by Green Stream Holdings Inc.

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GENSIGHT BIOLOGICS SA by Gensight Biologics SA

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Gesher Acquisition Corp II

GUSHENGTANG HLDGS LTD by GUSHENGTANG HLDGS LTD.

Themes Global Systemically Important Banks ETF

Goldman Sachs MarketBeta International Equity ETF

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Golden Sachs ETF Trust Goldman Sachs Access Investment Grade Corporate 1-5 Year Bond ETF

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GULFSLOPE ENERGY INC by Gulfslope Energy, Inc.

Gulfslope Energy Inc

GEOSPATIAL CORPORATION by Geospatial Corporation

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GREEN STAR PRODUCTS INC by Green Star Products, Inc.

Green Star Products Inc

GOLDEN SPIKE RES CORP by Golden Spike Resources Corp.

Golden Spike Resources Corp

Golden Star Enterprises Ltd

Food Culture Inc

Gotham Enhanced 500 ETF

GSP Resource Corp

GOLDEN SHIELD RES INC by GOLDEN SHIELD RES INC.

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GSR III Acquisition Corp. - Ordinary Shares

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GSRX INDUSTRIES INC by GSRX Industries Inc.

GSRX Industries Inc

GS ActiveBeta U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF

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GRAPHENE & SOLAR TECHS by Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd.

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Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (The) Depositary Shares each representing 1/1000th Interest in a Share of Floating Rate Non-Cumulative Preferred Stock Series A

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The U.S. financial sector roared to life Wednesday afternoon, with the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NASDAQ">XLF</a>) posting one of its strongest single-day gains in years, soaring 6.8% to $46.89.
What To Know: A surprise move by President Donald Trump <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44720006/markets-take-off-as-trump-announces-90-day-tariff-pause-for-non-retaliating-nations-slaps-china-with-125-duty">announcing a 90-day suspension of tariffs</a> on countries that have not retaliated against U.S. trade actions — a policy pivot that electrified markets.
The XLF, a bellwether ETF tracking major financial stocks in the S&amp;P 500, was swept up in the broader rally, benefiting from surging optimism about global trade, interest rate expectations, and economic acceleration. 
Top holdings like JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), Citigroup, Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) and BlackRock Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>) surged alongside the fund as capital rotated aggressively into economically sensitive sectors.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44720071/whats-going-on-with-ford-motor-stock-today">What&#8217;s Going On With Ford Motor Stock Today?</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why Financials Took Off Wednesday</h2>
1. Pro-Growth Signal Spurs Yield Rebound
Trump's tariff policy, while aggressive toward China, was unexpectedly conciliatory toward much of the world. By offering a temporary pause and a low flat-rate tariff to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44720006/markets-take-off-as-trump-announces-90-day-tariff-pause-for-non-retaliating-nations-slaps-china-with-125-duty">over 75 cooperative countries</a>, the administration signaled a more stable international trade environment. 
Markets appeared to interpret the shift as a pro-growth development, pushing bond yields higher — a direct benefit to banks that profit from wider interest rate spreads.
The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield jumped nearly 20 basis points Wednesday afternoon, steepening the yield curve. For banks, this steepening improves profitability on loans and investments.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44716555/thomas-peterffy-greatest-buying-opportunity-tariffs-roil-markets">Don&#8217;t Panic, Billionaire Thomas Peterffy Says: Tariffs Present &#8216;Greatest&#8217; Buying Opportunity</a>
2. Financials as a High-Beta Trade
As risk appetite returned, financials were among the most aggressively bought. The sector is considered high-beta — it tends to outperform when markets are bullish and underperform during risk-off conditions. 
With volatility collapsing (the VIX fell around 30%) and equities ripping to fresh highs, institutional money flowed back into financials after months of underperformance.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/25/04/44720209/apple-faces-up-to-90-cost-surge-on-iphones-if-us-tariffs-stick-analyst-looks-at-possible-shift-to-india-price-increase">Apple Faces Up To 90% Cost Surge On iPhones If US Tariffs Stick: Analyst Looks At Possible Shift To India, Price Increase</a>
3. Relief from Global Uncertainty
Though Trump's rhetoric toward China <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44720006/markets-take-off-as-trump-announces-90-day-tariff-pause-for-non-retaliating-nations-slaps-china-with-125-duty">was anything but soft</a>, his praise for non-retaliating countries and the 90-day trade reprieve reduced uncertainty for multinational institutions. 
Global banks and asset managers — like Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and BlackRock — likely gained on expectations of increased cross-border capital flows and fewer disruptions in foreign markets.
According to data from <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>, XLF has a 52-week high of $52.63 and a 52-week low of $39.54.

Bank Of America And Wells Fargo Surge As Bank Stocks Soar On Tariff Pause News

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Shares of companies within the broader financial sector are trading higher following President Trump's decision to implement a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China.

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities.
Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner.
Traders will search for circumstances when the market estimation of an option diverges heavily from its normal worth. High amounts of trading activity could push option prices to exaggerated or underestimated levels. 
Below are some instances of options activity happening in the Financials sector: 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>NLY</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>10/17/25</td>
<td>$19.00</td>
<td>$27.3K</td>
<td>4.1K</td>
<td>3.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>BAC</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>03/20/26</td>
<td>$38.00</td>
<td>$65.3K</td>
<td>3.3K</td>
<td>2.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>PYPL</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>12/19/25</td>
<td>$60.00</td>
<td>$52.6K</td>
<td>5.9K</td>
<td>662</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XYZ</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>04/11/25</td>
<td>$50.00</td>
<td>$30.6K</td>
<td>1.3K</td>
<td>481</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>HOOD</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$60.00</td>
<td>$73.5K</td>
<td>5.6K</td>
<td>170</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>C</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>04/25/25</td>
<td>$63.00</td>
<td>$106.4K</td>
<td>240</td>
<td>155</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>COIN</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>12/19/25</td>
<td>$7.50</td>
<td>$103.2K</td>
<td>2.0K</td>
<td>58</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>AXP</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>09/19/25</td>
<td>$250.00</td>
<td>$85.0K</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>25</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MS</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>08/15/25</td>
<td>$65.00</td>
<td>$37.7K</td>
<td>0</td>
<td>10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>GS</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>11/21/25</td>
<td>$480.00</td>
<td>$48.0K</td>
<td>9</td>
<td>9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h2>Explanation</h2>
These bullet-by-bullet explanations have been constructed using the accompanying table. 
• Regarding BAC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), we observe a put option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 345 day(s) on March 20, 2026. Parties traded 94 contract(s) at a $38.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 13 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $65.3K, with a price of $695.0 per contract. There were 3325 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 2153 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For PYPL (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PYPL#NASDAQ">PYPL</a>), we notice a put option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 254 day(s) on December 19, 2025. This event was a transfer of 53 contract(s) at a $60.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 6 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $52.6K, with a price of $994.0 per contract. There were 5911 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 662 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding XYZ (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XYZ#NYSE">XYZ</a>), we observe a call option trade with neutral sentiment. It expires in 2 day(s) on April 11, 2025. Parties traded 100 contract(s) at a $50.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $30.6K, with a price of $306.0 per contract. There were 1368 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 481 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding HOOD (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>), we observe a call option trade with bearish sentiment. It expires in 646 day(s) on January 15, 2027. Parties traded 100 contract(s) at a $60.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $73.5K, with a price of $735.0 per contract. There were 5665 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 170 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For C (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), we notice a put option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 16 day(s) on April 25, 2025. This event was a transfer of 150 contract(s) at a $63.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 24 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $106.4K, with a price of $710.0 per contract. There were 240 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 155 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding COIN (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>), we observe a call option trade with neutral sentiment. It expires in 254 day(s) on December 19, 2025. Parties traded 7 contract(s) at a $7.50 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $103.2K, with a price of $14746.0 per contract. There were 2027 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 58 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding AXP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>), we observe a put option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 163 day(s) on September 19, 2025. Parties traded 25 contract(s) at a $250.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $85.0K, with a price of $3400.0 per contract. There were 359 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 25 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For MS (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>), we notice a call option trade that happens to be bullish, expiring in 128 day(s) on August 15, 2025. This event was a transfer of 10 contract(s) at a $65.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $37.7K, with a price of $3770.0 per contract. There were 0 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 10 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For GS (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 226 day(s) on November 21, 2025. This event was a transfer of 9 contract(s) at a $480.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 3 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $48.0K, with a price of $5335.0 per contract. There were 9 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 9 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
Options Alert Terminology 
 - Call Contracts: The right to buy shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Put Contracts: The right to sell shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Expiration Date: When the contract expires. One must act on the contract by this date if one wants to use it. 
 - Premium/Option Price: The price of the contract. 
For more information, visit our <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/blog/how-to-understand-option-alerts/">Guide to Understanding Options Alerts</a> or read <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/options">more news on unusual options activity</a>. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Options

COIN

HOOD

PYPL

10 Financials Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session

Investors are baffled as U.S. Treasuries sink for the third consecutive day, and yields continue to rise across the curve, defying a long-standing market pattern during periods of stress. This is fueling speculations and concerns as the one safe haven during times of crisis now seems to be losing its luster.
What Happened: On Tuesday, the former CEO of bond giant PIMCO, Mohamed A. El-Erian shared what he called an &#8220;interesting observation&#8221; by Mike Bird, an editor at The Economist, on X.
The only other times when the S&amp;P 500 (INDEXSP: .INX) dropped more than 10% within 4 days, and two-year treasury yields dropped less than they have now was during the bear markets of 2011 and 2015, when &#8220;interest rates were already at zero,&#8221; Bird wrote, before adding that it is &#8220;really stark just how much of a bind that Fed is in.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Interesting observation by Mike Bird. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/economy?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#economy</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/markets?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#markets</a> <a href="https://twitter.com/Birdyword?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@Birdyword</a> <a href="https://t.co/BfpuzUYfNj">https://t.co/BfpuzUYfNj</a>
&mdash; Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) <a href="https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1909759323628347431?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 9, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The 2-year note that yielded 3.9% on the day that tariffs were announced, now yields 3.78%, a 0.12-point drop, which pales in comparison to other periods in recent history when equity markets faced a similar rout.
Yields have continued to spike since this was posted, with the 10-year note now yielding 4.40%, up 55 basis points over the past 48 hours, and the 30-year treasury notes, on the other hand, hit 5% late last night, before retreating to 4.90%.
See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44705011/steve-eisman-of-big-short-fame-says-no-amount-of-fundamental-research-can-help-navigate-trumps-tariff-war-throw-it-out-of-the-window">Steve Eisman Of &#8216;Big Short&#8217; Fame Says No Amount Of Fundamental Research Can Help Navigate Trump&#8217;s Tariff War, &#8216;Throw It Out Of The Window&#8217;</a>
Why It Matters: Long-term rates are now considerably higher than they were on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">Liberation Day</a> last week, meaning that they are now of no help in servicing the government&#8217;s massive debt burden. 
X has since been abuzz with chatter that this is China dumping its US Treasury holdings, which stand at over $760 billion. Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya <a href="https://x.com/chamath/status/1909711759101116823">commented</a> on the platform on Tuesday &#8220;I'm hearing they are dumping [U.S. Treasuries] to try and move rates to shift narrative and make our upcoming Treasury auctions more expensive.&#8221;
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) analysts believe that the appeal of U.S. assets is eroding among foreign investors, before adding that &#8220;foreign officials have taken a number of actions to attempt to reduce their reliance on the dollar,&#8221; reported Reuters.
Mark M. Zandi, the Chief Economist at Moody&#8217;s Analytics told ResiClub, a newsletter on the U.S. housing market, that he suspects the sharp rise in yields is due to &#8220;hedge funds selling treasury bonds to raise cash to meet margin calls on their equity holdings.&#8221;
Other prominent voices have since piled on, with the renowned Peter Schiff mincing no words as usual when tweeting about this just a few hours ago.
<figure class="wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">As I warned earlier, the Treasury market is crashing. The yield on the 10-year just hit 4.5%, and the yield on the 30-year just hit 5%. Without an emergency rate cut tomorrow morning and the announcement of a massive QE program, tomorrow could be a 1987-style stock market crash.
&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1909822222534955101?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 9, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
Schiff stated that &#8220;Without an emergency rate cut tomorrow morning and the announcement of a massive QE program, tomorrow could be a 1987-style stock market crash.&#8221;
Photo Courtesy: Harun Ozmen On Shutterstock.com
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44704930/trump-says-he-warned-tsmc-of-100-tariff-if-it-doesnt-manufacture-in-us-these-chip-companies-are-loaded">Trump Threatened TSMC He&#8217;d Impose Up To 100% Tariffs If It Didn&#8217;t Manufacture Chips In US: &#8216;These Chip Companies Are Loaded&#8217;</a>

Global

US Treasuries Defiant Run Amid Trump Tariff Turmoil Puzzles Investors— Hedge Funds Selling Or China Dumping?

JMP Securities analyst Devin Ryan maintains Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) with a Market Outperform and lowers the price target from $625 to $600.

Price Target

JMP Securities Maintains Market Outperform on Goldman Sachs Group, Lowers Price Target to $600

After having cut its oil forecasts twice in less than a week, analysts at Goldman Sachs cut their annual forecasts for Brent and West Texas Intermediate Crude for 2025 and 2026 yet again, warning of a worst-case scenario involving a tariff-driven global recession and higher supply by the OPEC+ nations.
What Happened: On Monday, Goldman Sachs once again revised its annual forecasts for Brent and WTI crude prices at $62 and $58 a barrel for December 2025 and $55 and $51 for December 2026, respectively, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-04-08/goldman-says-oil-could-sink-below-40-under-extreme-conditions">reported</a> Bloomberg. At the time of writing this, crude oil trades at $64 Brent and $60 WTI.
See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/04/44679330/will-trump-impose-higher-tariffs-on-china-crypto-bettors-now-see-an-80-possibility">Will Trump Impose Higher Tariffs On China? Crypto Bettors Now See An 80% Possibility</a>
This downward revision remains in line with the firm&#8217;s earlier decision to raise the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44662991/goldman-sachs-raises-risk-of-recession-to-45-jefferies-calls-tariffs-a-free-hall-pass-for-tech-giants-to-reset-their-goals">probability of a recession in the U.S. to 45%</a> over the next 12 months, up from 35% early last month, in response to the intensifying global trade war that can plunge the world into a recession. 
It further adds in the note that these forecasts have been made under two assumptions, the first being that the U.S. economy avoids a recession, with a significant reduction in the proposed tariffs. Second, the supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) rises moderately with two increments of 130,000 to 140,000 barrels.
In a more &#8220;extreme&#8221; scenario, where a global recession aligns with a full OPEC+ unwind, which the bank says is &#8220;less likely,&#8221; Brent could fall just below $40 a barrel in late 2026, a level not seen since the COVID-19 pandemic.
Why It Matters: After starting April at $70 a barrel, NYMEX WTI prices dipped below $60 on Monday morning, a level not seen in four years, before rebounding in the afternoon at $60.70. Energy analysts see the $60 mark as a key threshold, below which most producers will scale back their activity. 
According to Marshal Adkins, the head of energy at Raymond James Financial Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RJF#NYSE">RJF</a>), oil prices below $60 will push the U.S. into a slowdown, &#8216;there is no question about it,&#8217; he <a href="https://fortune.com/2025/04/07/oil-prices-nymex-wti-crude-gas-tariffs-opec/">adds</a> while speaking to Fortune.
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/25/04/44679299/trump-tariffs-triggers-historic-equity-wipeout-outpacing-covid-lehman-crashes-with-no-bond-rally-to-cushion-the-blow-says-lawrence-mcdonald">Trump Tariffs Trigger Historic Equity Wipeout Outpacing COVID, Lehman Crashes, With No Bond Rally To Cushion The Blow, Says Lawrence McDonald</a>
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Goldman Sachs Slashes Oil Forecasts Again, Warns Of $40 Brent In 'Extreme' Tariff-Driven Recession Scenario

Shares of the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NASDAQ">XLF</a>) are trading lower by 10.6% to $44.36 over the past week and are extremely volatile during Monday&#8217;s session.
President Donald Trump's announcement of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44621408/market-access-has-a-price-trump-unveils-list-of-tariffs-countries-targeted">sweeping reciprocal tariffs</a> against key trading partners last week has ignited investor concerns about a global economic slowdown—an environment that poses significant risks to the U.S. financial sector.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What Is XLF?</h2>
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Financial Select Sector Index, which includes major U.S. financial institutions. 
Top holdings in the fund include JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) and Citigroup Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>). 
These companies are deeply tied to macroeconomic conditions and global trade flows, making XLF especially vulnerable to geopolitical developments like a trade war.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44667862/oil-crashes-to-60-per-barrel-as-recession-fears-grow">Oil Crashes To $60 Per Barrel As Global Recession Fears Grow</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why Are Tariffs Hurting Financials—and XLF?</h2>
<ul>
<li>Economic Growth at Risk: Financial institutions thrive in stable, expanding economies. Tariffs have the opposite effect—disrupting supply chains, increasing costs for businesses and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/market-summary/25/04/44662164/us-stock-futures-slump-following-massive-tariff-induced-selloff-experts-warn-of-a-brewing-great-depression-like-pattern">chilling global trade</a>. Slower growth directly affects loan demand, reduces business investment and increases the likelihood of defaults. These dynamics all undercut bank profitability, especially for institutions that dominate the XLF ETF. </li>
<li>Weaker Loan Activity: Banks like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo generate significant income from lending. But as trade tensions escalate, businesses are more likely to delay expansion or capital investment, which means lower demand for commercial loans. At the same time, consumers hit by higher prices on <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44667862/oil-crashes-to-60-per-barrel-as-recession-fears-grow">imported goods</a> may tighten spending, reducing appetite for credit cards and mortgages. </li>
<li>Market Volatility and Investment Activity: Tariffs have injected fresh uncertainty into financial markets. That's bad news for investment banks and asset managers—another key slice of XLF's holdings. A sustained pullback in markets tends to reduce trading volumes, shrink deal pipelines, and lower asset management fees. Firms like Goldman Sachs could see a hit to earnings if market instability continues. </li>
<li>Rising Risk of Credit Deterioration: If tariffs trigger a sharper economic downturn, the financial sector could face rising delinquencies and deteriorating credit quality. Banks may be forced to set aside more capital for potential loan losses, further squeezing profits.</li>
</ul>
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44666973/trump-media-stock-is-tumbling-monday-whats-going-on">Trump Media Stock Is Tumbling Monday: What&#8217;s Going On?</a>

What's Going On With Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF)?

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) is the latest investment bank to predict a recession for the U.S. economy over the next 12 months, with the odds being raised to 45%, from its previous prediction of 35%. Amidst <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44662164/us-stock-futures-slump-following-massive-tariff-induced-selloff-experts-warn-of-a-brewing-great-depression-like-pattern">all this chaos and uncertainty</a>, however, there is a silver lining for the tech giants and their executives.
What Happened: On Sunday night, Goldman Sachs published a note raising its recession probability forecast from 35% to 45%, citing the sharp tightening of financial conditions and a spike in policy uncertainty. Just a month ago, it raised the probability from 20% to 35%, stating that economic fundamentals weren&#8217;t as robust as in the prior years.
See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44662249/end-of-cheap-clothing-era-tariffs-to-hit-apparel-industry-hard">Tariffs Threaten To End Era Of Cheap Clothing — Apparel Industry Faces Major Price Shock Under Trump Policy</a>
The bank now follows JPMorgan Cash &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), which <a href="http://benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy">made a similar prediction last week</a>, hiking the odds of a global recession to 60%.
While none of this sounds good, Jefferies Financial Group Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>) analysts believe that this, along with the Donald Trump administration&#8217;s tariffs, can be a &#8216;Free Hall Pass&#8217; for tech companies to revamp their financial guidance.
According to the firm&#8217;s lead analyst Brent Thill, companies can use this crisis to aim for &#8216;lower estimates that are more achievable and can help boost investor sentiments and stock performance,&#8217; as <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/tariffs-free-hall-pass-to-reset-big-tech-profit-guidance-2025-4">reported</a> by Business Insider. 
The firm&#8217;s analysts then cut their Price Targets for Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), among 29 leading tech stocks.
Why It Matters: The analysts noted that besides the obvious first and second order impacts of the tariffs, both Meta and Amazon generate significant revenue from Chinese advertisers trying to reach global audiences, which is now under pressure.
However, analysts have asked the tech giants to use this as an opportunity to reset their guidance to move conservative figures, something that better reflects new market realities.
Read More:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44661978/bill-ackman-blames-market-collapse-on-tariff-timing-says-trump-advisor-should-be-fired-now-predicts-a-lot-more-than-5-dip">Bill Ackman Blames Market Collapse On Tariff Timing, Says Trump Advisor &#8216;Should Be Fired Now:&#8217; Predicts &#8216;A Lot More Than 5%&#8217; Dip</a></li>
</ul>
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Goldman Sachs Raises Risk Of Recession to 45%: Jefferies Calls Tariffs a 'Free Hall Pass' For Tech Giants To Reset Their Goals

In a swift response to President Donald Trump&#8216;s global tariff hike, global hedge funds and levered exchange-traded funds (ETFs) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy">have offloaded more than $40 billion of stocks</a>, according to recent notes to clients from banks.
What Happened: The announcement of the severe global tariffs, the highest in over a century, has resulted in a loss of over $4 trillion in stock market value for S&amp;P 500 companies, Reuters reported.
JPMorgan (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) has projected that volatility targeting portfolios will sell between $25 billion and $30 billion in equities in the coming days to mitigate risk. Additionally, levered ETFs are expected to sell an extra $23 billion, predominantly in tech stocks, to rebalance by the end of the day.
See Also: <a href="https://benzinga.com/25/04/44655841/if-youre-going-to-do-dumb-things-because-your-stock-goes-down-warren-buffetts-old-warning-gains-steam-as-us-stock" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&#8216;If You&#8217;re Going To Do Dumb Things Because Your Stock Goes Down&#8230;:&#8217; Warren Buffett&#8217;s Old Warning Gains Steam As US Stocks Wipe Out $5 Trillion After Trump Tariffs</a>
In a separate note, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) reported that equities long/short hedge funds globally experienced the largest net selling in nearly 15 years on Thursday, becoming the most bearish since 2011. The bank also noted that portfolio managers primarily increased bets against stocks, credit, and equity ETFs following Trump&#8217;s tariff announcement, which sparked recession fears.
U.S. stocks led the hedge fund sales, with financial shares being net-sold at the fastest pace since 2016. However, sectors like real estate, staples, and utilities, known for weathering recessionary periods well, were the only ones investors bought on a net basis.
Financial experts speaking <a href="https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/article-14574981/Where-invest-Trumps-tariffs-means-pension-definitive-guide-Mails-money-experts.html">to</a> Britain's The Mail on Sunday see potential for investors in international ETFs, such as the iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>), Vanguard's Germany All Cap, and the Amundi UK Equity All Cap.
Why It Matters: The sudden sell-off of stocks by global hedge funds and ETFs is a direct result of the tariff hike announced by President Trump.
This move, the largest in over a century, has not only led to a significant loss in stock market value but has also increased the probability of a U.S. recession.
Read Next: <a href="https://benzinga.com/25/04/44644765/tom-lee-predicts-a-market-rebound-after-april-9-as-absurd-tariffs-could-spur-potential-negotiations" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tom Lee Predicts a Market Rebound After April 9 As &#8216;Absurd&#8217; Tariffs Could Spur Potential Negotiations</a>
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Global Hedge Funds and ETFs Offload Over $40 Billion in Stocks Following Trump's Tariff Announcement

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Shares of companies within the broader financial sector are trading lower in response to President Trump's sweeping Liberation tariffs and retaliatory responses. The sector is now facing greater macroeconomic uncertainty and recession fears.

While the tariffs announced by President Donald Trump are already dragging markets deep into the red, early signs of strain are beginning to emerge in corporate health indicators, raising concerns that the services sector, the backbone of the U.S. economy, may no longer be <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">able to sustain growth.</a>
The Institute for Supply Management&#8217;s Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) survey revealed a marked deterioration in sentiment among service-sector businesses last month, further igniting investor concerns on the state of the economy. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">ISM Services PMI Falls More Than Expected</h3>
The ISM Services PMI fell sharply to 50.9% in March, down from 53.5% in February, which had been the highest reading since August 2023. The decline was steeper than expected, with forecasts pointing to a more modest drop to 53%.
This was the lowest reading since December and only marginally above the 50% threshold that separates expansion from contraction.
The Business Activity Index, a gauge of current output, actually strengthened to 55.9% in March from 54.4%, extending its expansion streak to 58 consecutive months. However, forward-looking indicators showed weakness.
The New Orders Index dropped to 50.4% from 52.2%, suggesting waning customer demand, while the Backlog of Orders Index slipped to 45.6%, down from 47.7%, marking a third straight month of contraction.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Employment Index Craters, Hiring Freezes Emerge</h3>
The most striking component of the report was the collapse in the Employment Index, which plunged to 46.2% from 53.9%—a 7.7 percentage point drop and a nine-month low, marking its first contraction in six months.
That's a red flag for a services sector that comprises nearly 80% of U.S. private-sector employment. The reading suggests that companies are either slowing down hiring, cutting jobs outright, or scaling back hours amid economic uncertainty.
In the ISM's qualitative commentary, respondents in professional, scientific and technical services reported a loosening labor market. They cited easier hiring conditions, declining staff turnover and a more abundant supply of high-quality job candidates.
One participant said, "Have been able to hire high-quality employees to fill open positions," while another described a "conservative view of the job market and economy," noting they are "not adding head count or resources."
Now, 19.2% of respondents anticipate reducing employment, up from 15% in February.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Inflation Still Hot Despite Easing Slightly</h3>
The Prices Index registered at 60.9%, down modestly from 62.6% in February, but still above the 60% mark for a fourth straight month. That signals input cost pressures remain elevated, even as demand cools.
The ISM also noted a surge in mentions of tariff-related cost pressures, citing "a significant increase this month in the number of respondents reporting cost increases due to tariff activity."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions: Stocks Fall, Traders Eye Four Rate Cuts</h3>
The weaker-than-expected ISM Services PMI intensified the tariff-driven selloff on Wall Street, dragging major U.S. equity indexes to new session lows.
The S&amp;P 500 index – as trakced by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – fell 4.1% to 5,440 points, eyeing the worst session since September 2022. 
The Nasdaq 100 – tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) – sank 4.4%, hitting a 7-month low.
Shares of Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) were down 8.5%, on track for their worst day since March 2020. 
Similarly, major banks like Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) fell 8.7% and 9.10%, eyeing their worst days in five years. 
Ralph Lauren (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RL#NYSE">RL</a>) was the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s worst performer for the day, down 17%, also heading for its worst session since March 2020.
In money markets, traders ramped up bets on Federal Reserve rate cuts following the downbeat economic data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of four 25-basis-point cuts by December 2025 surged to as high as 67%. 
The shift in expectations triggered a sharp selloff in the U.S. dollar, which plunged 2.1%—its steepest single-day drop since November 2022.
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/top-stories/25/04/44627817/retaliation-odds-spike-after-trumps-heavy-tariffs-sending-country-etfs-tumbling">Retaliation Odds Spike After Trump&#8217;s Heavy Tariffs, Sending Country ETFs Tumbling</a></li>
</ul>
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