La vendita allo scoperto per RTX dà agli investitori un'idea del grado in cui gli investitori stanno scommettendo sul declino delle azioni di RTX. I dati relativi alle vendite allo scoperto vengono aggiornati ogni due settimane.

RTX (NYSE:RTX) Azioni, Report sulle vendite allo scoperto

Raytheon Technologies

RTX is an aerospace and defense manufacturer formed from the merger of United Technologies and Raytheon, with roughly equal exposure as a supplier to commercial aerospace and to the defense market. The company operates in three segments: Collins Aerospace, a diversified aerospace supplier; Pratt & Whitney, a commercial and military aircraft engine manufacturer; and Raytheon, a defense prime contractor providing a mix of missiles, missile defense systems, sensors, hardware, and communications technology to the military.

RTX Corp

This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities.
Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scanner.
Traders will search for circumstances when the market estimation of an option diverges heavily from its normal worth. High amounts of trading activity could push option prices to exaggerated or underestimated levels. 
Here's the list of options activity happening in today's session: 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>BE</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/17/25</td>
<td>$30.00</td>
<td>$43.3K</td>
<td>11.1K</td>
<td>5.5K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>FLNC</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>12/20/24</td>
<td>$25.00</td>
<td>$119.7K</td>
<td>455</td>
<td>2.5K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ACHR</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>12/20/24</td>
<td>$7.00</td>
<td>$40.3K</td>
<td>3.5K</td>
<td>2.2K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UAL</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>11/29/24</td>
<td>$97.00</td>
<td>$28.3K</td>
<td>75</td>
<td>220</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>GE</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>12/20/24</td>
<td>$180.00</td>
<td>$31.5K</td>
<td>4.7K</td>
<td>143</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>MLR</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>03/21/25</td>
<td>$75.00</td>
<td>$42.9K</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>114</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>RTX</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/17/25</td>
<td>$110.00</td>
<td>$25.2K</td>
<td>3.6K</td>
<td>37</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>BA</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$180.00</td>
<td>$36.0K</td>
<td>1.6K</td>
<td>20</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h2>Explanation</h2>
These bullet-by-bullet explanations have been constructed using the accompanying table. 
• Regarding BE (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BE#NYSE">BE</a>), we observe a call option sweep with bullish sentiment. It expires in 56 day(s) on January 17, 2025. Parties traded 321 contract(s) at a $30.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 36 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $43.3K, with a price of $135.0 per contract. There were 11133 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 5534 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For FLNC (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLNC#NASDAQ">FLNC</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bullish, expiring in 28 day(s) on December 20, 2024. This event was a transfer of 970 contract(s) at a $25.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 4 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $119.7K, with a price of $125.0 per contract. There were 455 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 2537 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For ACHR (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACHR#NYSE">ACHR</a>), we notice a call option sweep that happens to be bearish, expiring in 28 day(s) on December 20, 2024. This event was a transfer of 800 contract(s) at a $7.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 18 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $40.3K, with a price of $50.0 per contract. There were 3584 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 2241 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding UAL (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>), we observe a put option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 7 day(s) on November 29, 2024. Parties traded 100 contract(s) at a $97.00 strike. This particular put needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $28.3K, with a price of $285.0 per contract. There were 75 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 220 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding GE (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>), we observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 28 day(s) on December 20, 2024. Parties traded 50 contract(s) at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $31.5K, with a price of $630.0 per contract. There were 4769 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 143 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding MLR (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLR#NYSE">MLR</a>), we observe a call option sweep with bearish sentiment. It expires in 119 day(s) on March 21, 2025. Parties traded 113 contract(s) at a $75.00 strike. This particular call needed to be split into 5 different trades to become filled. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $42.9K, with a price of $380.0 per contract. There were 1 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 114 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• Regarding RTX (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>), we observe a call option trade with bullish sentiment. It expires in 56 day(s) on January 17, 2025. Parties traded 20 contract(s) at a $110.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $25.2K, with a price of $1260.0 per contract. There were 3660 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 37 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
• For BA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>), we notice a put option trade that happens to be bullish, expiring in 420 day(s) on January 16, 2026. This event was a transfer of 9 contract(s) at a $180.00 strike. The total cost received by the writing party (or parties) was $36.0K, with a price of $4010.0 per contract. There were 1692 open contracts at this strike prior to today, and today 20 contract(s) were bought and sold. 
Options Alert Terminology 
 - Call Contracts: The right to buy shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Put Contracts: The right to sell shares as indicated in the contract. 
 - Expiration Date: When the contract expires. One must act on the contract by this date if one wants to use it. 
 - Premium/Option Price: The price of the contract. 
For more information, visit our <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/blog/how-to-understand-option-alerts/">Guide to Understanding Options Alerts</a> or read <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/options">more news on unusual options activity</a>. 
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Options

ACHR

FLNC

8 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today's Session

News

Contracts

Pratt & Whitney Signs Letter Of Intent With WZL2 To Explore Expanded Maintenance Repair And Overhaul Capabilities For Increased Polish Air Force Needs

After a sell-off on Thursday, Nov. 14 the street seems to be betting on the defense stocks again. This comes as the conflict in the Middle East escalates and geopolitical tensions ratchet the payoffs for the stocks in this sector.
What Happened: As defense stocks become lucrative with rising tension, David Wagner, portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors says that "this is more than just a geopolitical play.&#8221; He sees further upside in the defense and aerospace areas, despite current rich valuations, as per a <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-08/wall-street-sees-more-room-for-defense-stocks-torrid-advance?embedded-checkout=true">Bloomberg</a> report.
As per the<a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard"> Benzinga Pro</a> data, the S&amp;P 500 Aerospace &amp; Defense Industry Index has risen by 15.33% year-to-date, whereas Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) and iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (ACRA: ITA) have all outperformed the index at 17.26%, 39.09% and 20.09%, respectively in the same period.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="308" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--1024x308.png" alt="" class="wp-image-652786" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--1024x308.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--300x90.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks--768x231.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073042/Defense-stocks-.png 1080w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
On a 15-year basis, Lockheed Martin has surged 603.08%, outperforming the iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF, which rose 521%. Another notable up move was seen in the shares of Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) which have zoomed by 2,806% since its listing in May 2015. During the same period, S&amp;P 500 has risen 436%, while S&amp;P 500 Aerospace &amp; Defense, which started in 2012, gained 321.57%. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="576" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-1024x576.png" alt="" class="wp-image-652789" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-1024x576.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-300x169.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-768x432.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year-1536x864.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/18073142/Stocks-Defense-15-year.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Why It Matters: Defense stocks, also known as haven assets, are comprised of two major sub-groups — defense and aerospace — offering investors a relatively diversified profile. While some analysts think geopolitics will tick the share prices higher, others argue their higher valuations.
Historically, defense spending runs in decades-long cycles. Investment in the sector experiences periods of growth followed by downturns, and we may be nearing the peak of the current cycle, according to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42013424/trumps-musk-ramaswamy-doge-plan-what-it-means-for-defense-and-it-stocks">Goldman Sachs</a> analyst Noah Poponak.
"The defense budget is at an all-time high, which creates difficult comparisons and challenging base effects," the analyst said in a note published Friday.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Risks For Defense Stocks As Per Goldman Sachs</h3>
<ol>
<li>Peak Spending: The defense budget is hovering at historical highs, making future growth difficult.</li>
<li>Geopolitical Shifts: If major conflicts ease, defense spending could decline.</li>
<li>Government Debt: U.S. debt-to-GDP ratios are near record levels, increasing pressure to curb federal spending.</li>
</ol>
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42013424/trumps-musk-ramaswamy-doge-plan-what-it-means-for-defense-and-it-stocks">Trump&#8217;s DOGE Plan: Goldman Sachs Says Defense Stocks Face Risks, IT Firms Could Win</a>
Speaking to Bloomberg about the fundamentals of the defense stocks, Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Advisory Services said, "Valuations are rich for the group, so that may cap the upside. If the economy slows down more than expected or we see a short-term de-escalation in the Middle East that could also weigh on the group,&#8221; he added.
However, a few analysts like Cole Wilcox, portfolio manager at Longboard Asset Management said, &#8220;Unfortunately we are in a cycle of high and growing conflict around the world. This is driving increased demand for defense spending that is likely to persist for a very long time."
Read next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42029975/cathie-wood-redirects-elon-musks-doge-focus-toward-nuclear-energy-amid-regulatory-challenges-heres-how-oklo-cameco-centrus-energy-and-other-stocks-performed">Cathie Wood Redirects Elon Musk&#8217;s DOGE Focus Toward Nuclear Energy Amid Regulatory Challenges: Here&#8217;s How Oklo, Cameco, Centrus Energy And Other Stocks Performed</a>
Image via LockheedMartin

Equities

Markets

ETFs

General

iShares Dow Jones US Aerospace & Defense Index Fund

Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Defense ETFs Outperform S&P 500 Over The Last 15 Years — What's Driving The Growth? Analysts Decode

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-15_08h38_46.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Powell Speaks The Truth</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-powell-speech-trump-appointments-spy-mc-11152024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&amp;P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>It is worth a reminder that The Arora Report is politically agnostic.&nbsp; Our sole job is to help our members extract the maximum amount of money out of the markets with the least possible risk.</li>
<li>The price action on the chart shows that the rip roaring Trump rally is taking a breather.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the stock market is still above the breakout line.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that the stock market has pulled back, reflecting a loss of momentum. The stock market is still overbought.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the volume remains low.&nbsp; This indicates that institutional investors are not rushing to buy stocks.</li>
<li>Yesterday, Powell spoke that truth – the market did not like it.&nbsp; Powell said, "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates."&nbsp; Powell elaborated, "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully."</li>
<li>Powell's remarks brought some selling into stocks and bonds.</li>
<li>This morning, in the early trade, selling continues.</li>
<li>The reason for some selling is that the prevailing wisdom on Wall Street has been that another rate cut in December was a sure thing.&nbsp; The Arora Report has been questioning Wall Street's wisdom and sharing with you that the data does not support another rate cut.</li>
<li>Some conservative commentators are upset believing that the reason Powell started rate cuts with a 50 bps cut was to help Kamala Harris get elected.&nbsp; Now that Trump has been elected, Powell is in no hurry to cut rates.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, even though the data does not support a rate cut in December, Powell is going to feel pressure from Trump and Republicans to cut rates.&nbsp; There is also a significant amount of data between now and the December Fed meeting.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, based on a 360 degree view, including the political pressure and the pressure from Wall Street to cut rates, the probability of a rate cut in December is now about 60%.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>There is consternation about several Trump picks.&nbsp; Impacting the market most are Trump's picks of RKF Jr, Matt Gaetz, and Pete Hegseth.&nbsp; These picks are bringing selling in vaccine makers such as Moderna Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRNA#NASDAQ">MRNA</a>), BioNTech SE ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>), Novavax Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVAX#NASDAQ">NVAX</a>), Merck &amp; Co Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRK#NYSE">MRK</a>), and Pfizer Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PFE#NYSE">PFE</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in other healthcare stocks, including weight loss drug companies Eli Lilly And Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) and Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVO#NYSE">NVO</a>), and packaged food stocks such as The Kraft Heinz Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KHC#NASDAQ">KHC</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in defense stocks such as Boeing Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), and Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in big tech stocks.</li>
<li>The latest economic data is strong.&nbsp; The U.S. economy is about 70% consumer based.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to retail sales.&nbsp; Here are the details of the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Retail sales came at 0.4% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
<li>Retail sales ex-auto came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>There are hundreds of indicators.&nbsp; At The Arora Report, the system has been refined through decades of research to share with you only those indicators that matter.&nbsp; Normally, we do not mention the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index.&nbsp; Today, we are mentioning it due to its exceptional strength.&nbsp; The index came at 31.2 vs. 3.3 consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that manufacturing in the New York area has picked up steam. &nbsp; If similar strength is happening in the rest of the country, that would argue against further cutting interest rates. The problem for investors is that stock valuations are so high that to sustain them, rate cuts are needed.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Even the slightest dips in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) are being bought.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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Powell Speaks The Truth - Market Does Not Like It, Consternation About Kennedy, Gaetz, And Hegseth

RTX's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) short percent of float has fallen 3.12% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 12.39 million shares sold short, which is 0.93% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 2.79 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock/">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>RTX Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1731601811_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for RTX has declined since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to rise in the near-term but traders should be aware that less shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing RTX's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/">Benzinga Pro</a>, RTX's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 3.11%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze/">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

Short Sellers

Short Ideas

Trading Ideas

(RTX) - Analyzing RTX's Short Interest

Technology will extend operational reach and counter autonomous systems
EL SEGUNDO, Calif., Nov. 14, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Raytheon, an RTX (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) business, has been awarded a contract from the U.S. Army to work on directed energy wireless power beaming capabilities that will distribute power across the battlefield, simplify logistics, and safeguard locations for U.S. troops.
Work is being conducted as part of a larger effort under the Department of Defense's Operational Energy Strategy. Under the contract, Raytheon's Advanced Technology team will develop advanced wireless power transmitter and receiver technologies to enable a long-range demonstration in line with the needs of U.S. Army manned and unmanned system requirements.

RTX's Raytheon Awarded U.S. Army Contract For Wireless Power Beaming Technology

President-elect Donald Trump has spent the week following <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41768178/donald-trump-defeats-kamala-harris-to-win-2024-election">his election win</a> penciling in cabinet picks. His choice for Defense Secretary, Pete Hegseth, is raising eyebrows. 
The Pick: Hegseth was a co-host on Fox Corp&#8216;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FOXA#NASDAQ">FOXA</a>) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FOX#NASDAQ">FOX</a>) &#8220;Fox &amp; Friends,&#8221; Trump&#8217;s favorite television show. 
The Minnesota native, an Iraq and Afghanistan War veteran, has never held a government position. Hegseth has been a strong supporter of Trump since 2016.
<a href="https://apnews.com/article/trump-hegseth-defense-secretary-pentagon-2d8030921ecef933778cf92afd40ec72">According</a> to the Associated Press, Trump encouraged his supporters to buy Hegseth's book in June and said that if he won the election, "The woke stuff will be gone within a period of 24 hours. I can tell you."
Hegseth supports removing women from combat roles in the military, <a href="https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/pete-hegseth-defense-secretary-trump-women-military-b2646325.html">according</a> to The Independent. 
Why it Matters: Trump&#8217;s selection of Hegseth surprised many Wall Street observers, <a href="https://www.barrons.com/amp/articles/trump-defense-secretary-pete-hegseth-stocks-d9af9d58">according</a> to Barron&#8217;s. The television host was not on the radar of research analysts.
Trump announced plans Tuesday to appoint Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to form the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/41931503/trump-forms-doge-with-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-at-the-helm-will-it-impact-tesla-ceos-role-at-the-ev-giant-and-spacex">&#8220;Department of Government Efficiency,&#8221;</a> aimed to &#8220;cut wasteful expenditures.&#8221; 
The sprawling U.S. military complex, which now <a href="https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/federal-spending/">comprises</a> 13% of the federal budget at nearly $1 trillion, has been unable to pass an independent audit for the last six years, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/pentagon-fails-audit-sixth-year-row-2023-11-16/">according</a> to Reuters.
Wall Street is apparently not worried that Musk and Ramaswamy will gut military spending to federal contractors. The iShares US Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#BATS">ITA</a>) has risen over 7% since Trump&#8217;s election win. General Dynamics Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GD#NYSE">GD</a>), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) and Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) have posted gains in that period.
What&#8217;s Next: Several Democratic Party politicians <a href="https://x.com/SenWarren/status/1856502912551158049">including</a> Senator Elizabeth Warren voiced disapproval of Trump&#8217;s pick, citing Hegseth&#8217;s lack of experience. The &#8220;Fox &amp; Friends&#8221; anchor will face a confirmation hearing in the Senate following Trump&#8217;s inauguration.
Also Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41927289/trump-appoints-elon-musk-and-vivek-ramaswamy-to-lead-doge-targeting-bureaucracy-and-65-trillion-federal-spending-we-will-not-go-gently">Trump Appoints Elon Musk And Vivek Ramaswamy To Lead &#8216;DOGE,&#8217; Aiming to Slash Bureaucracy And $6.5 Trillion Federal Spending: &#8216;We Will Not Go Gently&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy of Wikimedia.

Government

FOXA

Trump's Surprise Defense Secretary Pick Pete Hegseth Jolts Wall Street

Republicans are set to maintain control of the House of Representatives with a narrow margin, marking a new era as President-elect Donald Trump heads back <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">to the White House. </a>
With control of Congress locked up Wednesday, Trump and his allies are poised to enact changes across various sectors, from tax reforms to potential deregulations, as the party mobilizes to advance its agenda across Washington, NBC News <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/republicans-win-house-majority-trump-party-senate-control-rcna179231">reports</a>.
What Happened: Following a decisive win over Vice President Kamala Harris, Trump&#8217;s victory helped secure key congressional seats that kept Republicans in command of the House and the Senate. This sweeping Republican control creates a dynamic environment where Trump can enact his policy objectives with minimal opposition, positioning the party to reshape American policy on multiple fronts.
House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) celebrated the victory on Capitol Hill, emphasizing the unity and optimism he expects to define the next two years of governance. Key GOP gains in swing districts across Pennsylvania and Michigan helped solidify Republican dominance, despite Democrat efforts to regain control, according to NBC News.
With this control, Trump's team may pursue reforms involving tax cuts, health care changes, and immigration policy adjustments aimed at fulfilling the promises for which he campaigned. Republicans will also be in a position to use "reconciliation," a procedural tool allowing legislation to pass more easily without relying on Democratic support.
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/politics/24/11/41950681/trump-once-said-political-career-over-about-john-thune-now-senate-majority-leader-working-with-him-to-pass-gop-agenda"> Trump Once Said John Thune&#8217;s &#8216;Political Career Over&#8217;: Now He&#8217;ll Work With Senate Majority Leader On GOP Agenda</a>
Why It Matters: The GOP's full leadership signals potential market shifts as Republicans focus on deregulation and reshaping economic policy. 
Analysts expect changes in sustainable investment strategies under Trump's leadership. JPMorgan's Virgina Martin Heriz highlighted that while some Inflation Reduction Act incentives for clean energy might stay, others, like electric vehicle tax credits, could face cuts. &#8220;Fund performance matters far more than politics,&#8221; she said, underlining that financial gains may drive <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/41926301/sustainable-investment-under-trump-performance-matters-far-more-than-politics-jpmorgan-analyst-says">decisions in renewable energy.</a>
In light of these changes, certain sectors may see pronounced impacts:
Energy Sector Growth: With a pro-energy agenda, traditional oil and gas firms could thrive under reduced regulations. 
<ul>
<li>ETF to Watch: Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), tracking companies like Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) and Chevron (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), may benefit from policies aimed at fossil fuel expansion.</li>
</ul>
Financial Sector Deregulation: Reduced oversight in the financial sector could benefit banks and investment firms. 
<ul>
<li>ETF to Watch: Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>), which includes firms such as JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) and Bank of America (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>).</li>
</ul>
Defense and Infrastructure Investment: Increased defense and infrastructure spending could benefit contractors. 
<ul>
<li>ETF to Watch: iShares U.S. Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#NYSE">ITA</a>), with major holdings like Lockheed Martin (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) and Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>).</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41930918/trumps-high-inflation-regime-will-weaken-the-dollar-and-push-bitcoin-to-1m-says-arthur-hayes-get-long-and-stay-long">Trump&#8217;s High-Inflation Regime Will Weaken The Dollar And Push Bitcoin To $1M, Says Arthur Hayes: &#8216;Get Long And Stay Long&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Sector ETFs

Republicans Set To Hold Slim House Majority: What It Means For Energy, Financial, Defense Sectors

Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) shares nudged up by 1.07% on Monday as reports emerged that Taiwan might be loading up on U.S. defense tech, with Lockheed's Aegis destroyer and F-35 fighter jets at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/LMT/news">the top of the list</a>. 
This potential <a href="https://www.tipranks.com/news/lockheed-martin-lmt-stock-rises-on-news-of-taiwan-defense-purchase">purchase</a> aligns with Taiwan&#8217;s move to show its defense commitment amid rising tensions with China, a sentiment that resonates with the U.S.'s call for allies to step up their defense investments.
Taiwan is also looking to buy Patriot missiles from RTX Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) and Northrop Grumman Corp's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>) E-2D Advanced Hawkeye radar systems, underscoring its efforts to bolster self-defense.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41803738/invesco-launches-new-etfs-targeting-ai-cybersecurity-and-defense-heres-how-some-of-their-peers-have">Invesco Launches New ETFs Targeting AI, Cybersecurity, And Defense. Here&#8217;s How Some Of Their Peers Have Performed In The Past Year</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Lockheed Expands Horizons With New AI Defense Partnerships</h2>
Beyond traditional defense tech, Lockheed is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com//node/41735903">diving into AI</a> with new partnerships alongside Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>). 
Meta recently committed to making its open-source Llama AI models available for defense uses, working with Lockheed and others to integrate AI into national security applications. 
This expansion hints at Lockheed's strategic shift toward high-tech defense solutions, aligning with modern security demands.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Eye On Korea: Lockheed's Bid For CH-53K Choppers Deal</h2>
On the global front, Lockheed's Sikorsky unit is in the running for a multibillion-dollar <a href="https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2024/11/113_386184.html">contract </a>to supply heavy-lift CH-53K helicopters to South Korea, <a href="https://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/nation/2024/11/113_386184.html">reported</a> TheKoreaTimes. 
This special ops chopper could find a new home in South Korea's military by 2031, though it's up against Boeing Co's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) CH-47F in a closely watched competition.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">LMT Stock Chart Signals For Bulls &amp; Bears</h2>
Despite the bullish news, the charts show a mixed outlook for LMT stock. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent111224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="627" height="452" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060829/Screenshot-2024-11-12-at-4.38.18-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-642499" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060829/Screenshot-2024-11-12-at-4.38.18-PM.png 627w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060829/Screenshot-2024-11-12-at-4.38.18-PM-300x216.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 627px) 100vw, 627px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent111224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
Trading at $570.58, LMT stock is above its eight, 20 and 200-day SMAs (simple moving averages), which signal strong support. 
However, the 50-day SMA, sitting at $578.05, shows slight selling pressure. 
The MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) reading of a negative 8.02 flags a potential downturn, while an RSI (relative strength index) of 51.57 signals a neutral stance, neither overbought nor oversold.
So, while Lockheed Martin has reason to celebrate with defense contracts and high-tech moves, investors might want to watch for potential pullbacks before jumping in.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41891026/palantir-overtakes-lockheed-martin-in-market-cap-how-does-the-messi-of-ai-stack-up-against-the-traditional-defense-player">Palantir Overtakes Lockheed Martin In Market Cap, How Does The &#8216;Messi Of AI&#8217; Stack Up Against The Traditional Defense Player</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Asia

Long Ideas

Technicals

Global

Lockheed's Global Defense Expansion Drives Gains, While Technicals Hint At Pause

Collins Aerospace Receives $19M Contract From The Department Of Defense To Equip Fleet Of New H-47 Chinooks For The UK Royal Air Force

WIIM

Defense contractor companies are trading higher after the Pentagon granted permission to deploy in the Ukraine and repair US-supplied weaponry.

<a href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/08/politics/biden-administration-american-military-contractors-deploy-ukraine/index.html">https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/08/politics/biden-administration-american-military-contractors-deploy-ukraine/index.html</a>
&nbsp;
The Biden administration has lifted a de facto ban on American military contractors deploying to <a href="https://www.cnn.com/world/europe/ukraine">Ukraine</a> to help the country's military maintain and repair US-provided weapons systems, particularly F16 fighter jets and Patriot air defense systems, an official with direct knowledge of the plan told CNN.
The new policy, approved earlier this month before the election, would allow the Pentagon to provide contracts to American companies for work inside Ukraine for the first time since <a href="https://www.cnn.com/world/europe/russia">Russia</a> invaded in 2022. Officials said they hope it will speed up the maintenance and repairs of weapons systems being used by the Ukrainian military.
It is not clear whether Donald Trump will keep the policy in place when he takes office in January. Trump has said he hopes to end the war between Ukraine and Russia "within 24 hours" of returning to power.
"In order to help Ukraine repair and maintain military equipment provided by the US and its allies, DoD (Department of Defense) is soliciting bids for a small number of contractors who will help Ukraine maintain the assistance we've already provided," a defense official said.
"These contractors will be located far from the front lines and they will not be fighting Russian forces. They will help Ukrainian Armed Forces rapidly repair and maintain US provided equipment as needed so it can be quickly returned to the front lines."
The defense official confirmed that the US is moving forward with the plan because several of the systems the US has provided Ukraine, particularly F-16s and Patriots, "require specific technical expertise to maintain."
The shift marks another significant change <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2024/06/20/politics/ukraine-us-air-defense-capabilities/index.html">in the Biden administration's Ukraine policy</a>, as the US looks for ways to give Ukraine's military an upper hand against Russia. The Pentagon is expected to start listing the contracts online soon, the official said.
Over the last two years, Biden has insisted that all Americans, and particularly US troops, stay far away from the Ukrainian frontlines. The White House has been determined to limit both the danger to Americans and the perception, particularly by Russia, that the US military is engaged in combat there. The State Department has explicitly warned Americans against traveling to Ukraine since 2022.
As a result, US-provided military equipment that has sustained significant damage in combat has had to be transported out of the country to Poland, Romania, or other NATO countries for repairs, a process which takes time. US troops have also been available to help the Ukrainians with more routine maintenance and logistics, but only from afar via video chat or secure phone—an arrangement that has come with inherent limitations, since US troops and contractors are not able to work directly on the systems.
Allowing experienced, US government-funded American contractors to maintain a presence in Ukraine means they will be able to help fix damaged, high-value equipment much faster, officials have told CNN. One advanced system that officials say will likely require regular maintenance is the F-16 fighter jet, which Ukraine received earlier this year.
Companies bidding for the contracts would be required to develop robust risk mitigation plans to reduce threats to their employees, officials told CNN.
"The Department made this decision after careful risk assessment and in coordination with interagency stakeholders," the defense official said. "Each US contractor, organization or company will be responsible for the safety and security of their employees and will be required to include risk mitigation plans as part of their bids."
Current and former officials familiar said the policy change will not result in the kind of major American contractor presence that existed in Iraq and Afghanistan. Instead, it would likely result in anywhere from a few dozen to a couple hundred contractors working in Ukraine at a time.
"It is worth noting that there already are a wide array of American companies who have personnel in Ukraine fulfilling contracts for the Ukrainian government, so this will not lead to a substantial increase of employees of US companies working on the ground in Ukraine," the defense official said.

Macro Economic Events

Economics

'Biden Administration To Allow American Military Contractors To Deploy To Ukraine For First Time Since Russia's Invasion' - CNN

Macro Notification

Pentagon Lifts Ban On U.S. Defense Contractors In Ukraine To Repair US-Supplied Weaponry

The expansion will add maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) capabilities for the Pratt &amp; Whitney GTF engine in New Zealand, with capacity for up to 140 GTF engine overhauls planned annually by 2032.

Pratt & Whitney, Air New Zealand Reveal $150M, 14,000 Square Meter Expansion Of Christchurch Engine Centre

A Trump presidency<a href="https://europeancapitalinsights.substack.com/p/europe-frets-about-recession-after?r=3nmatg"> has raised concern in Europe that a new round</a> of tariffs under his <a href="https://www.euronews.com/business/2024/11/04/how-much-could-trumps-tariffs-damage-europes-economy">administration will cause a economic recession</a> in Europe.
A trade war during Trump's four-year term would also increase the probability of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting rates faster to spur growth. Analysts issued pessimistic outlooks for European economic growth after Trump won the election.
On election day, the US dollar rallied sharply, sending the euro to a four-month low and boosting Bitcoin by 10% to a record high. 
European stocks exposed to the US have already shown their vulnerability. A Barclays basket of 28 <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/europe-trump-win-outlook-trade-war-tariff-crypto-djt-election-2024-10">European stocks sensitive to US tariffs</a> has underperformed the broader STOXX600 index by 15% this year.
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXct8vnUjY-sPthKAo54TyYzmMYbFqSL4UEAYKQ92gAtCRQgUelVyEGMtqrSv5-U9J6NvK7t574p40MtP_A5qNqhIcmcpalKh6Mo9wsCHR4vajc8gXwstW6pEO71UptWP9JJCG9DNX2_i2uFfEmKYzcnqF5rE03Y8J96wUCGAoSoj95B14a5yVE?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
European stocks vulnerable to Trump tariffs, Source: Barclays Equity Research&nbsp;
&#8220;Tariff concerns have been a drag on EU equities&#8217; relative performance year-to-date,&#8221; Barclays analysts led by Emmanuel Cau wrote in a note on October 23. A basket of European stocks at risk of Trump tariffs declined compared to those geared toward Democrat policies.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfLgvwadHYOazAM9Zi-a21uG9w7SBpC9fl_QTuUaoa3Zmta_kqPhfkbiEU1xgFnSvUYlS6ptCm16qeL0eKpnr4tl4Pj77Qz28PN6Gn4NPCI-aS736Rq-lP9TRf94MPI5aXAeKN_myLiVpshQNhbRPYpEacxegs_pBRx9iSN?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
European stocks sensitive to Trump fall, Source: <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-06/european-stock-futures-drop-over-tariff-worries-as-trump-leads?srnd=phx-fixed-income">Bloomberg</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Presidency Could Impact Europe's GDP</h3>
The European Union (EU) will need to confront the reality of a much different relationship with its largest trading partner from January 20. Previous <a href="https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/10/24/would-donald-trumps-trade-tariffs-hurt-europe">tariffs on 6.4 billion in EU steel and aluminum</a>, alongside threats on automotive imports, have shown how US protectionism can reverberate through European economies.&nbsp;
Trump&#8217;s potential trade policies in 2025, including a proposed 10% to 20% <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/c0f1d1b9-8348-4b7d-8ab7-186fcf2ebbd1">tariff on European goods</a>, pose a substantial threat to European growth. Following Trump&#8217;s win, Goldman Sachs <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/783a573c-7ff3-461c-86f5-f194a89e3926">downgraded Europe's growth</a> for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.8%, citing limited European auto exports.
The German economic institute IW believes the <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/trump-presidency-could-deal-heavy-blow-germanys-flagging-economy-2024-10-24/">Eurozone&#8217;s GDP could decline by 1.5%</a> in 2027 and 2028. Goldman Sachs expects a 1% reduction if a 10% universal tariff is implemented instead.
Historically, Trump&#8217;s tariffs have hampered European growth due to steep declines in exports, a trend that could repeat. Major exports to the US accounted for ~90% of all European transatlantic exports in 2023 to €502.3 billion, European Commission (EC) data showed.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcvDK80Z1hUJyXyvBBoAMMZeFNr-xIVF1HOlXtj5f6tyZXetVpHGPs9afu43LAEz62sGA2rBTRYFExGxZIpot6NEMoR9FSz8MZpQOWeaegFSiq-af0hbjlqRKJQcifBBKtRYdpvm-brz9WvSj6543imX5QpjbXn9iE8MSyrl2c9XKSTRVJvkWo?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
EU trade with the US by product, Source: European Commission
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Presidency Could Cause Eurozone GDP Loos</h3>
The blow to the Eurozone from a potential 1.5% GDP reduction could translate to a €260 billion loss on an estimated GDP of €17.4 trillion for 2024. This is over half the entire transatlantic exports registered in 2023.
"The direct effects and the indirect effects and the <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-06/ecb-s-guindos-warns-of-huge-implications-of-trump-tariff-plans">deviations of commerce will be huge</a>, ECB Vice-President and French central bank head Francois Villeroy said on Wednesday.
Even the lower end of the proposed tariffs would compel ECB policymakers to cut rates more aggressively in 2025 if Trump implements his economic policies. Sven Jari Stehn of Goldman Sachs said in a note on Wednesday that he expects the ECB to cut an additional quarter-point in July.
&#8220;The American election must sound like <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/ecbs-villeroy-trump-election-means-more-risks-world-economy-2024-11-06/">a wakeup call for Europe</a>,&#8221; Villeroy said.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Germany At Greater Risk From Trump Presidency</h3>
Nations with large trade surpluses with the US face significant risks from policies that have strained transatlantic economic relationships in the past.&nbsp;
&#8220;Half of Germany&#8217;s growth always comes from exports and if you look at what&#8217;s going on in the world, you have to say that this pillar is under attack,&#8221; Germany's Economy Minister Robert Habeck said in October.&nbsp;
Germany exported over €157.7 billion of goods to the US in 2023. However, exports to the US contracted by 0.3% amid slowing demand and geopolitical escalation.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcunKZmSO2PXjTxoH5i3tumZTnE67LZaCy7n4plCOQCM-KaRa1NuHKfI4lwpeo7MwLbb0Aqn3RC9uLnOkJStOR3w4q2RuS55tghIU6m7QH1DLzfjJN5JdP3W4yQjJtarOqVnK06z5h7keeKLRkVAAEVOWJuwmL_gOl6HSiH65l3dYNqP9_E8Tc?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
Germany Exports to the US, 2012-2023, Source: Tradingeconomics
Dirk Schumacher, head of European macro research at Natixis Corporate &amp; Investment Banking Germany, says a 10% tariff increase could reduce Germany&#8217;s GDP by approximately 0.5%. A study by the Hans Boeckler Foundation macroeconomic institute suggests a <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/trump-presidency-could-deal-heavy-blow-germanys-flagging-economy-2024-10-24/">1% GDP erosion by 2026 if Trump implemented a 20% tarif</a>f.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Germany Is Only G7 Nation Without Growth For Two Years</h3>
Germany remains the only G7 nation that has <a href="https://www.euronews.com/business/2023/07/30/germany-expected-to-be-only-major-economy-not-to-grow-this-year">failed to grow for two years</a> due to higher energy prices, borrowing costs, and a slow rebound in China. Europe&#8217;s largest economy would suffer if its largest trading partner reduced output and imposed tariffs on China.
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfbVgaykBooXaV2_V2tFat4uPtjSxEtqJGbs1aXsckrchdNTyahnrivFRGcxzAeLoaUgFZv01KIV-g8Yk9HsuFFKgTBaSOSnOMknWvtj2G33RbD160IYtL7hnpn4l8SEaHdqM7rlcRtquZTqdr_AIIQEqM4qaXq4XQsubxXGLI35Dt86aCL_ds?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
German Exports to China, 2020-2024, Source: <a href="https://www.ceicdata.com/en/germany/trade-statistics-by-country/exports-china">CEIC</a>
&#8220;Germany isn&#8217;t going to be bailed out by a restoration of growth in China," Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, senior fellow at Bruegel and the Peterson Institute for International Economics, told Reuters.
An Ifo study found that German exports to China and the US could fall by 9.6% and 14.9% in a full-scale trade war scenario in which the US imposes a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. Pharmaceutical and car exports would be hit the hardest, down 35% and 32%, the Ifo said.
Trump's tariffs would substantially trim European exports to the US, possibly creating a cycle of retaliation.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Swift Retaliatory Action From Europe</h3>
Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, believes that Trump's presidency would initiate a new trade war with Europe but sounded the alarm of swift retaliation.&nbsp;
"The market is <a href="https://www.financialmirror.com/2024/10/29/trump-trade-war-with-europe-would-hurt-us-stocks/">underestimating the risk of swift European retaliation</a> and the pressure this could place on key American stocks," he said.
Retaliatory measures could hit US earnings in the S&amp;P 500 by 1.5% next year. However, European stocks exposed to US tariffs could plunge as much as 7%, according to Barclays.&nbsp;
&#8220;In the event of a full-blown trade war, we could see up to a high single-digit drag on EPS growth with Germany," Barclays' head of European equity strategy, Emmanuel Cau, said. However, Goldman Sachs believes that a 1% GDP loss, if transported, would erase EPS growth for 2025.
Certain European sectors could still gain from a Trump presidency.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Defense Will Benefit From Trump Presidency&nbsp;</h3>
In addition to the energy sector, defense companies could see increased demand from European nations under a Trump Presidency. He is likely to push them to increase their NATO defense spending.&nbsp;
Earlier in 2024, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/14/nato-chief-rebukes-donald-trump-and-announces-record-defence-spending">he threatened to "not protect"</a> any alliance members that failed to ramp up their defense spending to the 2% GDP target.&nbsp;
Following the warning, NATO claimed that more than 18 members would <a href="https://www.euractiv.com/section/defence-and-security/news/nato-says-18-members-will-reach-2-spending-target-this-year/">surpass the 2% target </a>this year. The number of allies meeting or exceeding the target soared to 23 this year, prompting <a href="https://breakingdefense.com/2024/10/trump-wants-nato-to-hit-3-percent-gdp-on-defense-the-us-could-fall-short/">Trump to raise the bar to 3% of GDP</a>.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXeZHW4VZpdEt-DWO4ekjR7UlrTXpLl0U3oYjPArwQ23JgwiOyv-MQt9EkTOATSvEu0hHQ9HLnkkQbdG2dmLCJQVZm42BqZNmLcIE_HEdaNGpHnBJJuZWpF2fF_xp61i66oBsWk44hSOdsCcbrEs91RBX3N4R3C_fDi1DQetJh3FM3SV4dgExw?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
NATO members&#8217; defense expenditure as a share of GDP, 2024e, Source: <a href="https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2024/6/pdf/240617-def-exp-2024-en.pdf">NATO</a>
After taking office, Mark Rutte, the new Secretary General of NATO, said, &#8220;thanks to Trump&#8221; NATO increased defense spending. In Europe, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/11/how-much-does-each-nato-country-spend-in-2024">Poland doubled the defense spending target</a> at 4.12% and Estonia by 3.43%, followed by Latvia and Greece.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">European Stocks For Trump Presidency</h3>
Poland, Estonia, Latvia, and Greece have been increasing their defense spending and primarily source military equipment from a combination of US and European defense contractors.&nbsp;
<a href="https://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2024/9/24/politics-of-war-color-polands-record-defense-spending#:~:text=Poland's%20recent%20procurement%20deals%20with,loan%20agreement%20announced%20in%20July.">Poland agreed to buy 32 F-35 jets, Apache helicopters and Abrams tanks</a> made by American companies Lockheed Martin (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>)  and Boeing (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) and <a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2024/03/05/saab-wins-polish-mega-order-for-carl-gustaf-recoilless-rifles/">signed a contract with Saab </a>(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAABF#OTC">SAABF</a>) earlier in the year to supply ammunition, training equipment, and recoilless rifles. It also awaits delivery of Raytehon's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) LTAMDS radars for its Patriot systems. 
Estonia has<a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2023/06/13/estonias-global-arms-buying-spree-seeks-drastic-combat-gains/"> existing ties</a> with Germany&#8217;s Rheinmetall (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RNMBY#OTC">RNMBY</a>), <a href="https://eng.lsm.lv/article/society/defense/04.07.2024-latvia-currently-in-natos-top-four-on-defense-spending.a560311/">Latvia with LMT</a> and <a href="https://www.airforce-technology.com/news/greece-orders-additional-rafale-jets/">Greece with French manufacturer</a> Dassault Aviation (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DUAVF#OTC">DUAVF</a>), along with LMT, <a href="https://www.naval-technology.com/news/us-approves-sale-of-mmsc-ships-greece/?cf-view">BAE Systems </a>(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAESY#OTC">BAESY</a>)<a href="https://www.naval-technology.com/news/us-approves-sale-of-mmsc-ships-greece/?cf-view"> and repair leader VSE </a>(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSEC#NASDAQ">VSEC</a>).
Disclaimer:
Any opinions expressed in this article are not to be considered investment advice and are solely those of the authors. European Capital Insights is not responsible for any financial decisions made based on the contents of this article. Readers may use this article for information and educational purposes only.
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga&#8217;s reporting and has not been edited for content&nbsp;or&nbsp;accuracy.

Eurozone

BAESY

DUAVF

RNMBY

SAABF

VSEC

Trump Presidency Raises Concerns About European Recession

DARPA Selects RTX's BBN Technologies To Develop ARC Tool For Enhanced Cyber Resilience, Compartmentalizing Software To Prevent Cyberattack Escalation

Invesco has unveiled a new series of thematic exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that focus on artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and defense sectors. These funds aim to leverage emerging trends within these industries.
What Happened: The newly introduced ETFs, named Invesco Artificial Intelligence Enablers, Cybersecurity, and Defence Innovation Ucits, are based on benchmarks crafted by Kensho, a division of S&amp;P Global Indices. Kensho utilizes natural language processing to pinpoint companies with significant involvement in each theme, categorizing them into &#8220;core&#8221; and &#8220;non-core&#8221; groups, Financial Times<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/476d3e81-cbd2-4484-8fb5-4a074dcaa97c"> reported</a> on Thursday.
As per Invesco, core companies generate a substantial portion of their revenue from products and services aligned with these themes, while non-core companies provide essential inputs without focusing on end products. The AI enablers strategy targets firms advancing AI technology and infrastructure, whereas the cybersecurity ETF invests in companies protecting enterprises from unauthorized electronic access. The defense fund provides exposure to companies developing advanced weapons and defensive systems
Here are a few ETFs and how they fared in the past year, as per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>:
Artificial Intelligence
<ul>
<li>iShares U.S. Technology ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITW#NYSE">ITW</a>) increased 45.40% over the year with holdings like Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) and Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).</li>
<li>Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FTEC#NYSE">FTEC</a>), with similar exposure, rose 43.17%.</li>
<li>First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FTX#NYSE">FTX</a>), which gives exposure to Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NFLX#NASDAQ">NFLX</a>), increased 45.59%.</li>
</ul>
Cybersecurity
<ul>
<li>First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CIBR#NASDAQ">CIBR</a>) increased 38.08%. Its holdings include Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSCO#NASDAQ">CSCO</a>), CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>) and Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AVGO#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>).</li>
<li>Amplify Cybersecurity ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HACK#NYSE">HACK</a>) rose 39.57%. Along with Broadcom, and Cisco, the ETF&#8217;s major holdings also include Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>), and General Dynamics Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GD#NYSE">GD</a>).</li>
<li>iShares Cybersecurity &amp; Tech ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IHAK#NYSE">IHAK</a>) with exposure to companies such as SentinelOne, Inc. Class A (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/S#NYSE">S</a>), and Fortinet, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FTNT#NASDAQ">FTNT</a>), rose 33.95%.</li>
</ul>
Defense
<ul>
<li>iShares US Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#BATS">ITA</a>) with exposure to companies such as General Electric (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>) and RTX Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) increased 33.86%.</li>
<li>Invesco Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PPA#NYSE">PPA</a>) with exposure to companies such as Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) and Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>) increased by 43.05%.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Aerospace &amp; Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAR#NYSE">XAR</a>) was up by 34.86%. It gives exposure to Axon Enterprise, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXN#NASDAQ">AXN</a>), L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>).</li>
</ul>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41794596/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-slingshot-to-the-moon-after-trump-victory-but-sharp-correction-m?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Slingshot To The Moon After Trump Victory But &#8216;Sharp&#8217; Correction Might Be In Store: Analyst Views BTC Between $80-90K By End Of Year</a>
Why It Matters: The launch of these ETFs by Invesco comes at a time when thematic investing is<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41713236/donald-trumps-return-to-white-house-could-propel-these-etfs-to-new-highs"> gaining traction among investors</a> looking to capitalize on specific industry trends. The focus on artificial intelligence, cybersecurity, and defense aligns with growing global interest in these areas, driven by technological advancements and increasing security concerns.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41734887/cathie-woods-latest-shake-up-dumps-palantir-and-jack-dorseys-block-along-with-tesla-buys-amazon-?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Cathie Wood&#8217;s Latest Shake-up: Dumps Palantir And Jack Dorsey&#8217;s Block Along With Tesla, Buys Amazon And Meta</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Image via Invesco

New ETFs

AVGO

CIBR

CRWD

CSCO

FTEC

FTNT

HACK

IHAK

NFLX

PANW

Invesco Launches New ETFs Targeting AI, Cybersecurity, And Defense. Here's How Some Of Their Peers Have Performed In The Past Year

RTX's Pratt & Whitney To Showcase Hydrogen-Fueled Turboprop Technology With PW127XT Engine In Canada's INSAT Program, Partnering With Next Hydrogen For Infrastructure Development

Election Day is here. A win for Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Kamala Harris could <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/11/41750069/80-million-votes-cast-in-early-voting-mail-in-voting-before-election-day-over-50-of-2020-electio">move different market sectors</a>. 
Here is a list of stocks to watch as the country <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41724383/wall-street-struggles-ahead-of-election-day-energy-sector-outperforms-solar-stocks-rise-whats-dr">waits for the final tally.</a> 
Trump Media &amp; Technology Group Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DJT#NASDAQ">DJT</a>) shares are climbing on heavy trading volume on the final day of voting. The stock soared 270% from its September lows as investors speculate on a potential Trump victory. Matthew Tuttle, CEO of investment fund Tuttle Capital Management, has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41608242/trump-media-technology-stock-soars-after-msg-rally-will-the-gains-hold">called the stock</a> "a binary bet on the election." However, some analysts <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/10/41630878/djt-short-squeeze-could-push-stock-to-60-if-trump-wins-but-analysis-says-loss-could-make-shares-">​​suggest</a> the stock could plummet if <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/09/40783924/trump-vs-harris-election-forecaster-with-9-out-of-10-accurate-predictions-makes-final-call-says-">Trump loses the election</a>. 
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/10/41630878/djt-short-squeeze-could-push-stock-to-60-if-trump-wins-but-analysis-says-loss-could-make-shares-">DJT Short Squeeze Could Push Stock To $60 If Trump Wins, But Analysis Says Loss Could Make Shares &#8216;Worthless&#8217;</a>
XOM, FSLR: Investors are watching Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) stock as traditional energy companies <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41724383/wall-street-struggles-ahead-of-election-day-energy-sector-outperforms-solar-stocks-rise-whats-dr">could gain </a>from favorable oil and gas policies under a Trump administration. It&#8217;s worth noting that the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/23/10/35240230/us-is-producing-more-oil-under-biden-than-at-any-point-under-the-trump-administration">U.S. produced more oil</a> under the Biden administration than at any point under the Trump administration. Conversely, solar energy companies like First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) are on watch as they could benefit from Harris' support of renewable energy policies and climate initiatives. 
RTX: Wall Street analysts are generally bullish on defense stocks in the event of a Trump victory putting shares of RTX (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) under watch as the polls close.  RTX, formerly Raytheon Technologies, is one of the &#8220;Big Five&#8221; defense contractors which are likely to benefit from increased <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41332235/why-raytheon-parent-rtx-stock-is-up">defense spending</a>. General Dynamics Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GD#NYSE">GD</a>) and Palantir Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NYSE">PLTR</a>) are other defense contractors stocks to watch. 
LEN: Homebuilders' stocks such as Lennar Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>) could gain from Harris&#8217; plans to promote homeownership if elected. One Harris proposal includes providing up to $25,000 in down payment assistance for first-time homebuyers who have paid their rent on time for two years. Other home builders to watch include D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) and KB Home (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBH#NYSE">KBH</a>). 
Read Also:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41690154/shock-october-jobs-report-leaves-fed-in-tight-spot-experts-say-interest-rate-cuts-a">Shock October Jobs Report Leaves Fed In &#8216;Tight Spot:&#8217; Experts Say Interest Rate Cuts Ahead</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Movers

FSLR

PLTR

5 Stocks To Watch On Election Day: Trump Media, Exxon, First Solar, RTX, Lennar

All eyes are focused on the upcoming U.S. presidential election, with several indicators suggesting a tight race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald J. Trump. However, a<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41702887/harris-takes-lead-in-red-state-iowa-in-shock-poll"> shocking poll</a> result in Iowa may have significant implications for the race and thus for the broader geopolitical paradigm.
According to pollster Ann Selzer of the Des Moines Register, Harris leads Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters. As Benzinga staff writer Bibhu Pattnaik mentioned, the significance is that "Trump held a four-point lead in the same poll in September – and led President Joe Biden by 18 points before Biden quit the race."
To be fair, another Iowa poll conducted by Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense showed that Trump is leading Harris by 10 percentage points. Therefore, the Trump campaign dismissed the Des Moines Register/Mediacom survey as an "outlier poll."
Nevertheless, Selzer commands a<a href="https://www.newsweek.com/who-ann-selzer-iowa-poll-kamala-harris-1979294"> strong</a> reputation, having made controversial calls that later turned out to be correct. These calls included correctly predicting Trump's win in Iowa in 2016 and 2020. If the pollster turns out to be correct once more, investors may want to turn their attention to the geopolitical realm.
Harris has maintained the Biden administration's strong support of Ukraine in its efforts to expel Russia's invasion. At the same time, the vice president has<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40811624/kamala-harris-slams-donald-trump-over-friendship-with-russian-president-a-dictator-who-would-eat-you"> also blasted Trump</a> for his "friendship" with Russian president Vladimir Putin. Should Harris win on Tuesday, it's probable that every effort would be made to provide lethal aid to Ukraine. Cynically, this push would likely bolster the defense industry.
The DFEN ETF: Investors willing to speculate on an electoral victory for the Democrats may consider the Direxion Daily Aerospace &amp; Defense Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFEN#NYSE">DFEN</a>). A highly leveraged exchange-traded fund, DFEN seeks the daily investment results of 300% of the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace &amp; Defense Index.
Under the DFEN fund are leading defense contractors, such as RTX Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) and Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>). However, the ETF also includes companies that are tied to civilian aerospace infrastructure, particularly General Electric Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>) — which conducts business under GE Aerospace — and Boeing Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>).
However, it should be noted that leveraged ETFs are incredibly risky. Further, investors should not hold a position for longer than one day. Otherwise, the daily compounding of volatility could lead to value erosion over time.
The DFEN Chart: Although DFEN predictably encountered significant choppiness, the overall picture has been bullish, with the fund gaining 34% on a year-to-date basis.
<ul>
<li>The defense-focused ETF saw a noticeable pop higher on Monday off the back of the aforementioned Iowa poll.</li>
<li>It's also interesting to note that DFEN began showing signs of life after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, allowing Harris to shine.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, investors should watch the broadening wedge formation that has developed since July, which may have bearish implications.</li>
</ul>
<figure class="wp-block-image"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfrKHJD6Fu8oL9or0F5h4uECVdYzZJk1qWF9WUBxWePDex7pku9b_M4gC-QtiKbh_ZpvORnkJQxGadiKg2UFam3BzVbMHlsXX5oNdKV2OWVn9eeqpjAk_3mvpKGJTHucoz1ikj-rxo6iUo7tuMFxEC_kZc?key=8eSb-ke5LINFd69vDC9NyN6A" alt="" /></figure>
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